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Autumn 1976 Vysshaya Liga Season

120 games

Final

Champion

Torpedo Moscow

20 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Torpedo Moscow

4.26 points above expected

20 points · 15.74 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Shakhtyor Donetsk

4.87 points below expected

14 points · 18.87 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Torpedo Moscow 15 9 2 4 20 20 9 +11 15.74 +4.26
2 Dynamo Kyiv 15 6 6 3 18 22 16 +6 16.73 +1.27
3 Karpati Lvov 15 6 5 4 17 22 19 +3 16.47 +0.53
4 Dinamo Tbilisi 15 6 5 4 17 16 12 +4 16.62 +0.38
5 Dynamo Moscow 15 7 2 6 16 15 13 +2 19.72 -3.72
6 Zenit Leningrad 15 6 4 5 16 22 16 +6 13.13 +2.87
7 Lokomotiv Moscow 15 6 3 6 15 13 13 0 13.55 +1.45
8 CSKA Moscow 15 5 5 5 15 21 16 +5 15.31 -0.31
9 Chernomorets Odesa 15 7 1 7 15 14 20 -6 13.82 +1.18
10 Zorya Voroshilovgrad 15 6 2 7 14 12 17 -5 12.77 +1.23
11 Shakhtyor Donetsk 15 5 4 6 14 12 10 +2 18.87 -4.87
12 Ararat 15 4 6 5 14 14 20 -6 16.76 -2.76
13 Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk 15 6 2 7 14 12 17 -5 15.51 -1.51
14 Krylia Sovetov 15 5 4 6 14 12 15 -3 9.85 +4.15
15 Spartak Moscow 15 5 3 7 13 15 18 -3 13.03 -0.03
16 Dinamo Minsk 15 2 4 9 8 10 21 -11 12.12 -4.12

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Torpedo Moscow 20 15.74 +4.26
2 Krylia Sovetov 14 9.85 +4.15
3 Zenit Leningrad 16 13.13 +2.87
4 Lokomotiv Moscow 15 13.55 +1.45
5 Dynamo Kyiv 18 16.73 +1.27

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Shakhtyor Donetsk 14 18.87 -4.87
2 Dinamo Minsk 8 12.12 -4.12
3 Dynamo Moscow 16 19.72 -3.72
4 Ararat 14 16.76 -2.76
5 Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk 14 15.51 -1.51

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Spartak Moscow 2 Aug 21 – Sep 2 1 in 63
2 Chernomorets Odesa 3 Sep 20 – Oct 3 1 in 40
3 Torpedo Moscow 4 Sep 5 – Sep 26 1 in 30
4 Zorya Voroshilovgrad 3 Oct 16 – Oct 30 1 in 25
5 Zenit Leningrad 2 Aug 17 – Aug 26 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dinamo Minsk 5 Oct 15 – Nov 12 1 in 43
2 Zorya Voroshilovgrad 5 Sep 4 – Oct 3 1 in 38
3 Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk 3 Sep 20 – Oct 3 1 in 33
4 Ararat 2 Aug 26 – Sep 11 1 in 31
5 Dynamo Kyiv 2 Aug 18 – Aug 31 1 in 27

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dynamo Kyiv 11 Sep 11 – Nov 12 1 in 120
2 Krylia Sovetov 4 Aug 13 – Sep 4 1 in 31
3 Torpedo Moscow 7 Aug 14 – Sep 26 1 in 27
4 CSKA Moscow 5 Sep 19 – Oct 11 1 in 18
5 Karpati Lvov 4 Oct 16 – Nov 6 1 in 10

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ararat 5 Aug 14 – Sep 11 1 in 71
2 Shakhtyor Donetsk 6 Sep 22 – Oct 24 1 in 37
3 Dinamo Minsk 6 Aug 14 – Sep 4 1 in 14
4 CSKA Moscow 6 Oct 11 – Nov 10 1 in 11
5 Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk 4 Sep 20 – Oct 7 1 in 10

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Torpedo Moscow 1826 20 -4 4 4.7 -0.7
Dynamo Kyiv 1873 18 +22 9 6.5 +2.5
Karpati Lvov 1806 17 -18 5 5.4 -0.4
Dinamo Tbilisi 1818 17 +5 5 4.4 +0.6
Zenit Leningrad 1736 16 +45 5 3.7 +1.3
Dynamo Moscow 1937 16 -16 5 6.7 -1.7
Lokomotiv Moscow 1693 15 +4 6 5.3 +0.7
Chernomorets Odesa 1729 15 -2 5 4.9 +0.1
CSKA Moscow 1756 15 -7 3 4.4 -1.4
Zorya Voroshilovgrad 1646 14 +20 8 5.1 +2.9
Ararat 1804 14 -13 6 5.7 +0.3
Shakhtyor Donetsk 1861 14 -3 6 6.4 -0.4
Krylia Sovetov 1616 14 +11 5 3.7 +1.3
Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk 1745 14 +2 5 4.4 +0.6
Spartak Moscow 1702 13 -17 2 4.3 -2.3
Dinamo Minsk 1600 8 -30 0 3.4 -3.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ARA CM CO DM DT DD DK DM KL KS LM SD SM TM ZL ZV
Ararat —
0-1-0
2.18
1-0-0
2.27
1-0-0
1.29
0-1-0
0.72
0-1-0
0.89
0-0-1
0.62
0-1-0
0.42
0-1-0
2.14
0-1-0
2.50
0-0-1
1.12
1-0-0
1.96
0-0-1
2.33
1-0-0
2.02
0-0-1
1.03
0-0-1
1.25
CSKA Moscow
0-1-0
0.58
—
1-0-0
2.15
0-0-1
1.01
0-1-0
1.96
0-0-1
0.70
0-1-0
0.47
1-0-0
1.33
0-1-0
1.90
1-0-0
2.37
0-0-1
0.85
1-0-0
1.63
0-0-1
2.19
0-0-1
2.04
0-1-0
0.84
1-0-0
0.94
Chernomorets Odesa
0-0-1
0.50
0-0-1
0.61
—
1-0-0
2.33
1-0-0
1.85
1-0-0
0.60
0-0-1
0.45
1-0-0
1.22
0-0-1
1.84
0-0-1
1.01
0-1-0
2.19
1-0-0
1.62
1-0-0
0.69
0-0-1
0.50
1-0-0
2.16
0-0-1
0.88
Dinamo Minsk
0-0-1
1.45
1-0-0
1.73
0-0-1
0.45
—
0-0-1
0.38
1-0-0
1.68
0-0-1
1.28
0-0-1
0.24
0-1-0
0.36
0-1-0
2.15
0-0-1
1.98
0-0-1
0.31
0-1-0
0.50
0-0-1
1.56
0-1-0
0.53
0-0-1
2.09
Dinamo Tbilisi
0-1-0
2.03
0-1-0
0.79
0-0-1
0.89
1-0-0
2.42
—
1-0-0
2.19
0-1-0
2.01
1-0-0
1.70
0-0-1
0.64
1-0-0
1.35
0-1-0
2.35
0-0-1
0.57
0-1-0
0.93
0-0-1
0.63
1-0-0
2.30
1-0-0
2.42
Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk
0-1-0
1.85
1-0-0
2.05
0-0-1
2.16
0-0-1
1.07
0-0-1
0.57
—
1-0-0
0.48
0-0-1
0.34
1-0-0
1.85
1-0-0
2.40
0-0-1
0.90
0-0-1
1.86
1-0-0
2.20
1-0-0
1.83
0-1-0
0.73
0-0-1
0.98
Dynamo Kyiv
1-0-0
2.14
0-1-0
2.31
1-0-0
2.34
1-0-0
1.47
0-1-0
0.74
0-0-1
2.29
—
0-0-1
0.46
0-1-0
0.72
1-0-0
2.50
0-0-1
1.22
0-1-0
0.57
1-0-0
2.40
1-0-0
2.14
0-1-0
1.12
0-1-0
1.40
Dynamo Moscow
0-1-0
2.37
0-0-1
1.42
0-0-1
1.53
1-0-0
2.61
0-0-1
1.05
1-0-0
2.46
1-0-0
2.32
—
0-0-1
1.04
0-0-1
1.94
1-0-0
2.56
1-0-0
0.84
0-0-1
1.55
0-1-0
1.14
1-0-0
2.52
1-0-0
2.58
Karpati Lvov
0-1-0
0.62
0-1-0
0.85
1-0-0
0.90
0-1-0
2.44
1-0-0
2.12
0-0-1
0.90
0-1-0
2.03
1-0-0
1.71
—
0-0-1
1.49
1-0-0
2.36
0-1-0
0.58
1-0-0
0.94
0-0-1
0.72
0-0-1
2.34
1-0-0
2.43
Krylia Sovetov
0-1-0
0.31
0-0-1
0.42
1-0-0
1.73
0-1-0
0.61
0-0-1
1.39
0-0-1
0.40
0-0-1
0.32
1-0-0
0.83
1-0-0
1.26
—
0-1-0
0.51
0-1-0
1.05
1-0-0
1.77
0-0-1
0.32
1-0-0
1.81
0-0-1
0.61
Lokomotiv Moscow
1-0-0
1.62
1-0-0
1.89
0-1-0
0.57
1-0-0
0.77
0-1-0
0.44
1-0-0
1.85
1-0-0
1.52
0-0-1
0.27
0-0-1
0.42
0-1-0
2.27
—
0-0-1
0.40
0-0-1
2.09
0-0-1
1.66
0-0-1
0.63
1-0-0
2.19
Shakhtyor Donetsk
0-0-1
0.79
0-0-1
1.12
0-0-1
1.12
1-0-0
2.50
1-0-0
2.19
1-0-0
0.88
0-1-0
2.19
0-0-1
1.90
0-1-0
2.19
0-1-0
1.71
1-0-0
2.40
—
0-0-1
1.17
0-0-1
0.75
1-0-0
2.44
0-1-0
2.48
Spartak Moscow
1-0-0
0.46
1-0-0
0.58
0-0-1
2.06
0-1-0
2.27
0-1-0
1.82
0-0-1
0.57
0-0-1
0.39
1-0-0
1.20
0-0-1
1.80
0-0-1
0.98
1-0-0
0.66
1-0-0
1.58
—
0-1-0
0.46
0-0-1
2.14
0-0-1
0.83
Torpedo Moscow
0-0-1
0.73
1-0-0
0.71
1-0-0
2.28
1-0-0
1.18
1-0-0
2.13
0-0-1
0.91
0-0-1
0.62
0-1-0
1.61
1-0-0
2.04
1-0-0
2.49
1-0-0
1.09
1-0-0
2.00
0-1-0
2.32
—
0-0-1
1.10
1-0-0
1.16
Zenit Leningrad
1-0-0
1.71
0-1-0
1.91
0-0-1
0.60
0-1-0
2.24
0-0-1
0.48
0-1-0
2.02
0-1-0
1.62
0-0-1
0.30
1-0-0
0.44
0-0-1
0.94
1-0-0
2.12
0-0-1
0.36
1-0-0
0.62
1-0-0
1.65
—
1-0-0
2.16
Zorya Voroshilovgrad
1-0-0
1.50
0-0-1
1.80
1-0-0
1.87
1-0-0
0.67
0-0-1
0.38
1-0-0
1.76
0-1-0
1.35
0-0-1
0.26
0-0-1
0.37
1-0-0
2.15
0-0-1
0.57
0-1-0
0.33
1-0-0
1.92
0-0-1
1.59
0-0-1
0.60
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.50 +4.4
Allowed 0.31 -4.1
Differential 0.73 +3.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.50%15.00%6.25%2.50%0.83%0.42%37.50%
115.00%7.50%6.25%4.58%0.42%0.42%34.17%
26.25%6.25%3.33%1.25%——17.08%
32.50%4.58%1.25%0.83%——9.17%
40.83%0.42%————1.25%
5+0.42%0.42%————0.83%
Total37.50%34.17%17.08%9.17%1.25%0.83%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 1.05 +0.00
SD 1.08 1.08 1.57
CV 1.03 1.03 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 120

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%6.67%—6.67%—6.67%40.00%
113.33%13.33%————26.67%
26.67%6.67%6.67%13.33%——33.33%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total40.00%26.67%6.67%20.00%—6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.93 1.33 -0.40
SD 0.88 1.54 1.72
CV 0.95 1.16 —
Max 2 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%13.33%6.67%———26.67%
113.33%20.00%13.33%———46.67%
2—6.67%————6.67%
3———6.67%——6.67%
46.67%—————6.67%
5+—6.67%————6.67%
Total26.67%46.67%20.00%6.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.40 1.07 +0.33
SD 1.50 0.88 1.72
CV 1.07 0.83 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—20.00%13.33%—13.33%—46.67%
16.67%6.67%————13.33%
213.33%26.67%————40.00%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total20.00%53.33%13.33%—13.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.93 1.33 -0.40
SD 0.96 1.23 1.96
CV 1.03 0.93 —
Max 2 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%13.33%20.00%6.67%——53.33%
1—6.67%20.00%———26.67%
26.67%6.67%6.67%———20.00%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total20.00%26.67%46.67%6.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.67 1.40 -0.73
SD 0.82 0.91 1.28
CV 1.22 0.65 —
Max 2 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
026.67%6.67%————33.33%
113.33%6.67%6.67%13.33%——40.00%
26.67%6.67%————13.33%
36.67%6.67%————13.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total53.33%26.67%6.67%13.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.07 0.80 +0.27
SD 1.03 1.08 1.44
CV 0.97 1.35 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%6.67%13.33%13.33%——46.67%
126.67%—13.33%———40.00%
2———————
3—13.33%————13.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total40.00%20.00%26.67%13.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.80 1.13 -0.33
SD 1.01 1.13 1.68
CV 1.27 0.99 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%6.67%————20.00%
16.67%20.00%6.67%6.67%——40.00%
26.67%—6.67%———13.33%
36.67%6.67%13.33%———26.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%33.33%26.67%6.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 1.07 +0.40
SD 1.13 0.96 1.30
CV 0.77 0.90 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%13.33%6.67%———26.67%
126.67%6.67%13.33%6.67%——53.33%
26.67%6.67%————13.33%
36.67%—————6.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total46.67%26.67%20.00%6.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 0.87 +0.13
SD 0.85 0.99 1.46
CV 0.85 1.14 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%6.67%6.67%6.67%——26.67%
113.33%6.67%—6.67%——26.67%
26.67%—20.00%———26.67%
3—13.33%————13.33%
4—6.67%————6.67%
5+———————
Total26.67%33.33%26.67%13.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 1.27 +0.20
SD 1.25 1.03 1.70
CV 0.85 0.82 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
026.67%13.33%6.67%———46.67%
113.33%—6.67%6.67%—6.67%33.33%
213.33%—————13.33%
3—6.67%————6.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total53.33%20.00%13.33%6.67%—6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.80 1.00 -0.20
SD 0.94 1.46 1.70
CV 1.18 1.46 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%26.67%————40.00%
120.00%6.67%—6.67%6.67%—40.00%
26.67%6.67%————13.33%
36.67%—————6.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total46.67%40.00%—6.67%6.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.87 0.87 +0.00
SD 0.92 1.19 1.56
CV 1.06 1.37 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
026.67%33.33%6.67%———66.67%
16.67%—————6.67%
2—6.67%————6.67%
36.67%13.33%————20.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total40.00%53.33%6.67%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.80 0.67 +0.13
SD 1.26 0.62 1.41
CV 1.58 0.93 —
Max 3 2 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%26.67%6.67%———40.00%
113.33%6.67%6.67%6.67%——33.33%
2—6.67%6.67%———13.33%
3—6.67%6.67%———13.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total20.00%46.67%26.67%6.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.20 -0.20
SD 1.07 0.86 1.21
CV 1.07 0.72 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—20.00%————20.00%
133.33%6.67%————40.00%
220.00%—6.67%6.67%——33.33%
3———————
46.67%—————6.67%
5+———————
Total60.00%26.67%6.67%6.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 0.60 +0.73
SD 1.05 0.91 1.44
CV 0.78 1.52 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%6.67%6.67%———26.67%
113.33%6.67%13.33%6.67%——40.00%
2—6.67%————6.67%
36.67%6.67%—6.67%——20.00%
4———————
5+6.67%—————6.67%
Total40.00%26.67%20.00%13.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 1.07 +0.40
SD 1.46 1.10 1.88
CV 0.99 1.03 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%20.00%6.67%6.67%——40.00%
120.00%6.67%—13.33%——40.00%
26.67%13.33%————20.00%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%40.00%6.67%20.00%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.80 1.13 -0.33
SD 0.77 1.13 1.50
CV 0.97 0.99 —
Max 2 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 15

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Dynamo Moscow 1937 16 19.72 -3.72 10.0% 12 16 18 19 22 24 26
Dynamo Kyiv 1873 18 16.73 +1.27 78.0% 10 13 15 17 18 21 25
Shakhtyor Donetsk 1861 14 18.87 -4.87 3.0% 12 15 17 19 21 23 28
Torpedo Moscow 1826 20 15.74 +4.26 96.0% 9 11 14 15 18 20 22
Dinamo Tbilisi 1818 17 16.62 +0.38 64.0% 9 12 15 16 18 22 24
Karpati Lvov 1806 17 16.47 +0.53 66.0% 8 11 15 17 18 20 22
Ararat 1804 14 16.76 -2.76 20.0% 10 11 15 17 19 22 23
CSKA Moscow 1756 15 15.31 -0.31 51.0% 10 11 13 15 17 20 24
Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk 1745 14 15.51 -1.51 34.0% 9 10 13 16 17 20 21
Zenit Leningrad 1736 16 13.13 +2.87 89.0% 7 8 11 13 15 17 20
Chernomorets Odesa 1729 15 13.82 +1.18 74.0% 7 9 12 14 16 18 20
Spartak Moscow 1702 13 13.03 -0.03 59.0% 7 9 11 13 15 17 19
Lokomotiv Moscow 1693 15 13.55 +1.45 74.0% 6 8 12 13 16 19 22
Zorya Voroshilovgrad 1646 14 12.77 +1.23 73.0% 7 8 11 13 15 17 18
Krylia Sovetov 1616 14 9.85 +4.15 94.0% 3 4 7 10 13 15 16
Dinamo Minsk 1600 8 12.12 -4.12 9.0% 7 8 10 12 14 16 20

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 16.5% * Slight Edge: 16.5% to 25% * Clear Edge: 25% to 33% * Strong Edge: 33% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+39.17%
Strong Edge
57.50%24.17%18.33%
Elo Value
Home Edge
315 Elo
0.003 goals per Elo point
0143.76800
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.67 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.46+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 8th * Longshot: 9th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.12 * Comfortable: 0.12 to 0.17 * Runaway: 0.17 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.7
Open
134510
Champion Preseason Odds
5%
Torpedo Moscow, 6th of 16
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.13/gm
Comfortable
00.120.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.24 * Some Luck: 2.24 to 3.35 * Lucky: 3.35 to 4.47 * Wild Swing: 4.47 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.35 * Close: 2.35 to 3.52 * Off: 3.52 to 4.69 * Way Off: 4.69 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 16 * As Expected: 16 to 25.6 * Several Outliers: 25.6 to 35.2 * Many Outliers: 35.2 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
2.68 points
Some Luck
02.797
Average Finish Error
Expected
3.75
Off
02.936
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.88%
96.00%
Torpedo Moscow
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.12%
3.00%
Shakhtyor Donetsk
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 16
Minimal Outliers
01.68

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.14 * Top-Heavy: 0.14 to 0.17 * Lopsided: 0.17 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 1.8 * Wide Separation: 1.8 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 67.5% * Clear Edge: 67.5% to 71% * Wide Edge: 71% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85.5% * Clear Edge: 85.5% to 89% * Strong Edge: 89% to 92.5% * Dominant: 92.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 57.5% * Some Drama: 57.5% to 65.5% * Frequent: 65.5% to 69.5% * Very Frequent: 69.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 11.5% * Occasional: 11.5% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 20% * Very Frequent: 20% and up.
Gini Index
0.09
Balanced
00.130.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 94.86
0.77
Coin-Flip Parity
0.91.41.61.82.5
Interquartile Edge
67%
Slight Edge
50%65%71%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
87%
Clear Edge
50%88%100%
Close Games
Expected
69%
Frequent
0%66%100%
Blowouts
Expected
9%
Rare
0%11%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.42 * Slight Separation: 0.42 to 0.48 * Notable Separation: 0.48 to 0.54 * Lopsided: 0.54 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.48 * Some Carryover: 0.48 to 0.58 * Strong Carryover: 0.58 to 0.65 * Near-Lock: 0.65 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21% * Upset-Prone: 21% to 23.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 23.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.59
Predictable
00.542
Matchup Imbalance
0.56
Lopsided
00.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.88
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.47
Weak Carryover
00.480.651
Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Upset-Prone
0%17%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
17%
As Expected
0%14%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.
Probability calibration
0.10
Borderline
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.43
Overconfident
0.2614941.001.73851
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.124
Well Within Noise
00.1280.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910111213141516
Torpedo Moscow5.00%11.00%12.00%2.00%9.00%8.00%3.00%8.00%10.00%11.00%8.00%3.00%3.00%2.00%5.00%—
Dynamo Kyiv9.00%9.00%8.00%6.00%16.00%10.00%12.00%10.00%6.00%3.00%3.00%4.00%2.00%1.00%—1.00%
Karpati Lvov4.00%7.00%13.00%15.00%11.00%10.00%11.00%11.00%3.00%2.00%4.00%3.00%1.00%—3.00%2.00%
Dinamo Tbilisi9.00%10.00%7.00%10.00%8.00%12.00%10.00%4.00%10.00%5.00%8.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%2.00%—
Dynamo Moscow38.00%19.00%9.00%12.00%8.00%5.00%4.00%—2.00%2.00%——1.00%———
Zenit Leningrad—2.00%1.00%2.00%5.00%6.00%5.00%5.00%8.00%9.00%12.00%6.00%12.00%11.00%9.00%7.00%
Lokomotiv Moscow1.00%2.00%4.00%3.00%3.00%6.00%6.00%4.00%7.00%7.00%10.00%9.00%15.00%11.00%7.00%5.00%
CSKA Moscow6.00%1.00%5.00%9.00%8.00%11.00%10.00%5.00%11.00%6.00%9.00%6.00%4.00%4.00%3.00%2.00%
Chernomorets Odesa—1.00%2.00%5.00%12.00%1.00%4.00%4.00%5.00%9.00%10.00%16.00%7.00%8.00%9.00%7.00%
Zorya Voroshilovgrad———1.00%2.00%4.00%4.00%9.00%8.00%7.00%5.00%13.00%14.00%12.00%12.00%9.00%
Shakhtyor Donetsk21.00%23.00%15.00%10.00%5.00%7.00%6.00%7.00%3.00%—1.00%—1.00%1.00%——
Ararat4.00%10.00%15.00%10.00%5.00%4.00%13.00%9.00%4.00%8.00%4.00%6.00%1.00%3.00%3.00%1.00%
Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk3.00%4.00%7.00%10.00%5.00%9.00%7.00%9.00%8.00%8.00%6.00%3.00%7.00%7.00%5.00%2.00%
Krylia Sovetov—————1.00%1.00%—4.00%6.00%5.00%9.00%8.00%12.00%7.00%47.00%
Spartak Moscow——1.00%4.00%2.00%5.00%4.00%6.00%7.00%9.00%8.00%9.00%13.00%16.00%13.00%3.00%
Dinamo Minsk—1.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%—9.00%4.00%8.00%7.00%10.00%10.00%11.00%22.00%14.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Dynamo Moscow 100% —
Shakhtyor Donetsk 100% —
Dynamo Kyiv 99.00% 1.00%
Dinamo Tbilisi 98.00% 2.00%
Ararat 96.00% 4.00%
CSKA Moscow 95.00% 5.00%
Karpati Lvov 95.00% 5.00%
Torpedo Moscow 95.00% 5.00%
Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk 93.00% 7.00%
Lokomotiv Moscow 88.00% 12.00%
Chernomorets Odesa 84.00% 16.00%
Spartak Moscow 84.00% 16.00%
Zenit Leningrad 84.00% 16.00%
Zorya Voroshilovgrad 79.00% 21.00%
Dinamo Minsk 64.00% 36.00%
Krylia Sovetov 46.00% 54.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1976-08-13 Zenit Leningrad W 2-051.1 1585 1687 51.78% 25.53% 22.69%+0.13 +7.7 2
1976-08-13 @ Krylia Sovetov L 0-251.1 1687 1585 22.69% 25.53% 51.78%-0.13 -7.7 0
1976-08-14 Karpati Lvov D 2-281.3 1839 1820 63.24% 24.12% 12.65%+0.52 -1.4 1
1976-08-14 @ Ararat D 2-281.3 1820 1839 12.65% 24.12% 63.24%-0.52 +1.4 1
1976-08-14 Torpedo Moscow L 0-264.0 1760 1780 59.90% 24.75% 15.34%+0.39 -17.1 0
1976-08-14 @ CSKA Moscow W 2-064.0 1780 1760 15.34% 24.75% 59.90%-0.39 +17.1 2
1976-08-14 Lokomotiv Moscow L 0-166.0 1635 1680 57.54% 25.08% 17.38%+0.31 -8.7 0
1976-08-14 @ Dinamo Minsk W 1-066.0 1680 1635 17.38% 25.08% 57.54%-0.31 +8.7 2
1976-08-14 Chernomorets Odesa W 1-055.7 1644 1728 53.70% 25.43% 20.88%+0.19 +3.8 2
1976-08-14 @ Zorya Voroshilovgrad L 0-155.7 1728 1644 20.88% 25.43% 53.70%-0.19 -3.8 0
1976-08-17 Zenit Leningrad L 1-274.6 1699 1679 63.29% 24.10% 12.61%+0.52 -9.0 0
1976-08-17 @ Spartak Moscow W 2-174.6 1679 1699 12.61% 24.10% 63.29%-0.52 +9.0 2
1976-08-18 Krylia Sovetov D 0-070.6 1838 1592 77.29% 18.40% 4.31%+1.24 -3.0 2
1976-08-18 @ Ararat D 0-070.6 1592 1838 4.31% 18.40% 77.29%-1.24 +3.0 3
1976-08-18 Dinamo Tbilisi W 2-163.1 1725 1813 53.26% 25.46% 21.28%+0.18 +3.7 2
1976-08-18 @ Chernomorets Odesa L 1-263.1 1813 1725 21.28% 25.46% 53.26%-0.18 -3.7 0
1976-08-18 Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk L 1-372.2 1868 1769 68.93% 22.44% 8.63%+0.77 -16.8 0
1976-08-18 @ Dynamo Kyiv W 3-172.2 1769 1868 8.63% 22.44% 68.93%-0.77 +16.8 2
1976-08-18 Dinamo Minsk D 2-282.1 1821 1626 74.66% 19.87% 5.47%+1.08 -1.9 2
1976-08-18 @ Karpati Lvov D 2-282.1 1626 1821 5.47% 19.87% 74.66%-1.08 +1.9 1
1976-08-18 Zorya Voroshilovgrad D 0-070.8 1874 1648 76.30% 18.97% 4.73%+1.18 -3.0 1
1976-08-18 @ Shakhtyor Donetsk D 0-070.8 1648 1874 4.73% 18.97% 76.30%-1.18 +2.9 3
1976-08-21 Spartak Moscow L 1-369.7 1689 1690 61.55% 24.47% 13.98%+0.45 -15.2 2
1976-08-21 @ Lokomotiv Moscow W 3-169.7 1690 1689 13.98% 24.47% 61.55%-0.45 +15.2 2
1976-08-22 Ararat D 1-175.1 1809 1835 59.40% 24.83% 15.77%+0.37 -1.5 1
1976-08-22 @ Dinamo Tbilisi D 1-175.1 1835 1809 15.77% 24.83% 59.40%-0.37 +1.5 3
1976-08-22 Dinamo Minsk W 2-044.3 1968 1628 81.68% 15.57% 2.75%+1.54 +0.9 2
1976-08-22 @ Dynamo Moscow L 0-244.3 1628 1968 2.75% 15.57% 81.68%-1.54 -0.9 1
1976-08-22 Shakhtyor Donetsk L 0-360.8 1786 1871 53.56% 25.44% 21.00%+0.19 -22.3 2
1976-08-22 @ Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk W 3-060.8 1871 1786 21.00% 25.44% 53.56%-0.19 +22.3 3
1976-08-26 Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk W 1-053.1 1808 1764 65.10% 23.66% 11.24%+0.60 +2.2 3
1976-08-26 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-153.1 1764 1808 11.24% 23.66% 65.10%-0.60 -2.2 2
1976-08-26 Lokomotiv Moscow W 1-052.8 1688 1674 62.76% 24.22% 13.02%+0.50 +2.5 4
1976-08-26 @ Zenit Leningrad L 0-152.8 1674 1688 13.02% 24.22% 62.76%-0.50 -2.5 2
1976-08-26 Shakhtyor Donetsk D 0-069.1 1595 1894 26.87% 24.28% 48.86%-0.49 +0.8 4
1976-08-26 @ Krylia Sovetov D 0-069.1 1894 1595 48.86% 24.28% 26.87%+0.49 -0.8 4
1976-08-26 Ararat W 1-060.0 1651 1837 41.47% 25.54% 32.99%-0.13 +5.5 5
1976-08-26 @ Zorya Voroshilovgrad L 0-160.0 1837 1651 32.99% 25.54% 41.47%+0.13 -5.5 3
1976-08-27 Torpedo Moscow L 0-162.8 1627 1797 43.48% 25.60% 30.92%-0.08 -6.8 1
1976-08-27 @ Dinamo Minsk W 1-062.8 1797 1627 30.92% 25.60% 43.48%+0.08 +6.8 4
1976-08-27 Karpati Lvov L 0-166.1 1728 1819 52.98% 25.47% 21.55%+0.17 -8.1 2
1976-08-27 @ Chernomorets Odesa W 1-066.1 1819 1728 21.55% 25.47% 52.98%-0.17 +8.1 4
1976-08-29 Dynamo Moscow W 2-168.6 1743 1969 35.94% 25.24% 38.81%-0.26 +5.8 2
1976-08-29 @ CSKA Moscow L 1-268.6 1969 1743 38.81% 25.24% 35.94%+0.26 -5.8 2
1976-08-31 Dynamo Kyiv W 2-166.4 1671 1851 42.23% 25.56% 32.21%-0.11 +5.1 4
1976-08-31 @ Lokomotiv Moscow L 1-266.4 1851 1671 32.21% 25.56% 42.23%+0.11 -5.1 0
1976-08-31 Dinamo Minsk D 0-068.2 1690 1620 66.99% 23.10% 9.91%+0.68 -2.3 5
1976-08-31 @ Zenit Leningrad D 0-068.2 1620 1690 9.91% 23.10% 66.99%-0.68 +2.3 2
1976-09-01 Dynamo Moscow D 1-174.9 1804 1963 44.96% 25.63% 29.42%-0.05 -0.5 5
1976-09-01 @ Torpedo Moscow D 1-174.9 1963 1804 29.42% 25.63% 44.96%+0.05 +0.5 3
1976-09-02 Spartak Moscow L 1-275.4 1749 1705 65.05% 23.67% 11.28%+0.59 -9.2 2
1976-09-02 @ CSKA Moscow W 2-175.4 1705 1749 11.28% 23.67% 65.05%-0.59 +9.2 4
1976-09-03 Chernomorets Odesa W 1-051.4 1846 1720 70.65% 21.76% 7.59%+0.86 +1.5 2
1976-09-03 @ Dynamo Kyiv L 0-151.4 1720 1846 7.59% 21.76% 70.65%-0.86 -1.5 2
1976-09-04 Krylia Sovetov D 0-066.5 1622 1596 63.75% 24.00% 12.25%+0.54 -2.1 3
1976-09-04 @ Dinamo Minsk D 0-066.5 1596 1622 12.25% 24.00% 63.75%-0.54 +2.1 5
1976-09-04 Zorya Voroshilovgrad W 3-154.4 1688 1657 64.15% 23.90% 11.95%+0.56 +3.8 7
1976-09-04 @ Zenit Leningrad L 1-354.4 1657 1688 11.95% 23.90% 64.15%-0.56 -3.8 5
1976-09-05 Karpati Lvov W 2-050.9 1803 1827 59.58% 24.80% 15.61%+0.38 +5.6 7
1976-09-05 @ Torpedo Moscow L 0-250.9 1827 1803 15.61% 24.80% 59.58%-0.38 -5.6 4
1976-09-06 Shakhtyor Donetsk W 1-059.1 1739 1893 45.65% 25.63% 28.72%-0.03 +4.9 4
1976-09-06 @ CSKA Moscow L 0-159.1 1893 1739 28.72% 25.63% 45.65%+0.03 -4.9 4
1976-09-07 Dynamo Kyiv W 1-051.9 1963 1848 70.00% 22.03% 7.97%+0.82 +1.5 5
1976-09-07 @ Dynamo Moscow L 0-151.9 1848 1963 7.97% 22.03% 70.00%-0.82 -1.6 2
1976-09-07 Lokomotiv Moscow D 0-069.9 1810 1677 71.09% 21.57% 7.33%+0.88 -2.6 4
1976-09-07 @ Dinamo Tbilisi D 0-069.9 1677 1810 7.33% 21.57% 71.09%-0.88 +2.6 5
1976-09-07 Spartak Moscow W 1-052.8 1761 1715 65.32% 23.60% 11.09%+0.61 +2.2 4
1976-09-07 @ Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk L 0-152.8 1715 1761 11.09% 23.60% 65.32%-0.61 -2.2 4
1976-09-11 Spartak Moscow L 2-381.3 1831 1712 70.19% 21.95% 7.86%+0.83 -9.4 3
1976-09-11 @ Ararat W 3-281.3 1712 1831 7.86% 21.95% 70.19%-0.83 +9.4 6
1976-09-11 Zorya Voroshilovgrad W 1-048.6 1965 1653 80.45% 16.40% 3.14%+1.45 +0.5 7
1976-09-11 @ Dynamo Moscow L 0-148.6 1653 1965 3.14% 16.40% 80.45%-1.45 -0.5 5
1976-09-11 Krylia Sovetov W 3-151.9 1764 1598 72.98% 20.71% 6.30%+0.98 +2.0 6
1976-09-11 @ Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk L 1-351.9 1598 1764 6.30% 20.71% 72.98%-0.98 -2.0 5
1976-09-11 Dynamo Kyiv D 1-174.6 1692 1846 45.53% 25.63% 28.84%-0.03 -0.5 8
1976-09-11 @ Zenit Leningrad D 1-174.6 1846 1692 28.84% 25.63% 45.53%+0.03 +0.5 3
1976-09-12 Lokomotiv Moscow W 4-149.9 1822 1679 71.64% 21.33% 7.02%+0.91 +3.1 6
1976-09-12 @ Karpati Lvov L 1-449.9 1679 1822 7.02% 21.33% 71.64%-0.91 -3.1 5
1976-09-12 Chernomorets Odesa W 4-046.5 1809 1719 68.36% 22.64% 9.00%+0.74 +6.3 9
1976-09-12 @ Torpedo Moscow L 0-446.5 1719 1809 9.00% 22.64% 68.36%-0.74 -6.3 2
1976-09-13 CSKA Moscow W 2-163.5 1620 1744 49.23% 25.62% 25.15%+0.06 +4.2 5
1976-09-13 @ Dinamo Minsk L 1-263.5 1744 1620 25.15% 25.62% 49.23%-0.06 -4.2 4
1976-09-19 CSKA Moscow D 1-175.8 1847 1740 69.42% 22.25% 8.33%+0.80 -2.2 4
1976-09-19 @ Dynamo Kyiv D 1-175.8 1740 1847 8.33% 22.25% 69.42%-0.80 +2.3 5
1976-09-19 Ararat L 1-268.4 1625 1822 39.89% 25.47% 34.64%-0.17 -5.9 5
1976-09-19 @ Dinamo Minsk W 2-168.4 1822 1625 34.64% 25.47% 39.89%+0.17 +6.0 5
1976-09-19 Dinamo Tbilisi L 1-267.5 1596 1807 38.01% 25.37% 36.61%-0.21 -5.7 5
1976-09-19 @ Krylia Sovetov W 2-167.5 1807 1596 36.61% 25.37% 38.01%+0.21 +5.7 6
1976-09-19 Zenit Leningrad W 3-152.3 1888 1691 74.74% 19.83% 5.43%+1.08 +1.7 6
1976-09-19 @ Shakhtyor Donetsk L 1-352.3 1691 1888 5.43% 19.83% 74.74%-1.08 -1.7 8
1976-09-19 Karpati Lvov L 0-165.8 1722 1825 51.65% 25.54% 22.81%+0.13 -7.9 6
1976-09-19 @ Spartak Moscow W 1-065.8 1825 1722 22.81% 25.54% 51.65%-0.13 +7.9 8
1976-09-19 Torpedo Moscow L 0-259.4 1652 1815 44.40% 25.62% 29.98%-0.06 -13.0 5
1976-09-19 @ Zorya Voroshilovgrad W 2-059.4 1815 1652 29.98% 25.62% 44.40%+0.06 +13.0 11
1976-09-20 Dynamo Moscow W 2-169.6 1712 1965 32.33% 24.95% 42.72%-0.35 +6.2 4
1976-09-20 @ Chernomorets Odesa L 1-269.6 1965 1712 42.72% 24.95% 32.33%+0.35 -6.3 7
1976-09-20 Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk W 2-052.3 1676 1766 53.12% 25.46% 21.41%+0.17 +7.4 7
1976-09-20 @ Lokomotiv Moscow L 0-252.3 1766 1676 21.41% 25.46% 53.12%-0.17 -7.4 6
1976-09-22 Dynamo Kyiv D 0-069.7 1890 1844 65.19% 23.63% 11.18%+0.60 -2.2 7
1976-09-22 @ Shakhtyor Donetsk D 0-069.7 1844 1890 11.18% 23.63% 65.19%-0.60 +2.2 5
1976-09-25 Ararat W 3-265.0 1847 1828 63.18% 24.13% 12.69%+0.52 +2.2 7
1976-09-25 @ Dynamo Kyiv L 2-365.0 1828 1847 12.69% 24.13% 63.18%-0.52 -2.2 5
1976-09-25 Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk W 2-053.7 1619 1758 47.36% 25.64% 27.00%+0.01 +8.9 7
1976-09-25 @ Dinamo Minsk L 0-253.7 1758 1619 27.00% 25.64% 47.36%-0.01 -8.9 6
1976-09-25 Dynamo Moscow L 0-167.0 1887 1959 54.99% 25.33% 19.68%+0.23 -8.3 7
1976-09-25 @ Shakhtyor Donetsk W 1-067.0 1959 1887 19.68% 25.33% 54.99%-0.23 +8.4 9
1976-09-25 Dinamo Tbilisi D 0-068.9 1714 1813 52.08% 25.52% 22.40%+0.14 -1.1 7
1976-09-25 @ Spartak Moscow D 0-068.9 1813 1714 22.40% 25.52% 52.08%-0.14 +1.1 7
1976-09-26 Zenit Leningrad W 2-159.4 1719 1690 63.98% 23.94% 12.08%+0.55 +2.2 6
1976-09-26 @ Chernomorets Odesa L 1-259.4 1690 1719 12.08% 23.94% 63.98%-0.55 -2.2 8
1976-09-26 Karpati Lvov W 3-164.1 1591 1833 33.77% 25.08% 41.16%-0.31 +10.5 7
1976-09-26 @ Krylia Sovetov L 1-364.1 1833 1591 41.16% 25.08% 33.77%+0.31 -10.5 8
1976-09-26 Torpedo Moscow L 0-164.2 1683 1828 46.71% 25.64% 27.66%+0.00 -7.2 7
1976-09-26 @ Lokomotiv Moscow W 1-064.2 1828 1683 27.66% 25.64% 46.71%+0.00 +7.2 13
1976-09-26 CSKA Moscow L 0-165.0 1639 1742 51.62% 25.54% 22.84%+0.13 -7.9 5
1976-09-26 @ Zorya Voroshilovgrad W 1-065.0 1742 1639 22.84% 25.54% 51.62%-0.13 +7.9 7
1976-10-02 Krylia Sovetov W 5-147.5 1750 1601 72.05% 21.15% 6.80%+0.93 +3.9 9
1976-10-02 @ CSKA Moscow L 1-547.5 1601 1750 6.80% 21.15% 72.05%-0.93 -3.9 7
1976-10-03 Shakhtyor Donetsk W 1-055.8 1825 1879 56.80% 25.16% 18.03%+0.29 +3.4 7
1976-10-03 @ Ararat L 0-155.8 1879 1825 18.03% 25.16% 56.80%-0.29 -3.4 7
1976-10-03 Lokomotiv Moscow W 1-048.9 1967 1676 79.50% 17.03% 3.47%+1.38 +0.6 11
1976-10-03 @ Dynamo Moscow L 0-148.9 1676 1967 3.47% 17.03% 79.50%-1.38 -0.6 7
1976-10-03 Dynamo Kyiv D 0-069.3 1814 1849 58.58% 24.95% 16.47%+0.35 -1.7 8
1976-10-03 @ Dinamo Tbilisi D 0-069.3 1849 1814 16.47% 24.95% 58.58%-0.35 +1.7 8
1976-10-03 Chernomorets Odesa L 1-275.2 1749 1721 63.92% 23.96% 12.13%+0.55 -9.1 6
1976-10-03 @ Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk W 2-175.2 1721 1749 12.13% 23.96% 63.92%-0.55 +9.1 8
1976-10-03 Zorya Voroshilovgrad W 3-152.0 1822 1631 74.41% 20.00% 5.59%+1.06 +1.7 10
1976-10-03 @ Karpati Lvov L 1-352.0 1631 1822 5.59% 20.00% 74.41%-1.06 -1.7 5
1976-10-03 Torpedo Moscow W 1-058.6 1687 1836 46.30% 25.64% 28.07%-0.01 +4.9 10
1976-10-03 @ Zenit Leningrad L 0-158.6 1836 1687 28.07% 25.64% 46.30%+0.01 -4.8 13
1976-10-04 Dinamo Minsk D 1-174.4 1713 1628 68.02% 22.76% 9.22%+0.73 -2.2 8
1976-10-04 @ Spartak Moscow D 1-174.4 1628 1713 9.22% 22.76% 68.02%-0.73 +2.2 8
1976-10-07 Dynamo Kyiv D 1-174.6 1630 1850 36.61% 25.29% 38.10%-0.24 +0.0 6
1976-10-07 @ Zorya Voroshilovgrad D 1-174.6 1850 1630 38.10% 25.29% 36.61%+0.24 -0.0 9
1976-10-07 Ararat D 0-069.0 1740 1829 53.22% 25.46% 21.32%+0.18 -1.2 7
1976-10-07 @ Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk D 0-069.0 1829 1740 21.32% 25.46% 53.22%-0.18 +1.2 8
1976-10-07 Dinamo Tbilisi W 3-156.1 1824 1812 62.57% 24.26% 13.17%+0.49 +4.2 12
1976-10-07 @ Karpati Lvov L 1-356.1 1812 1824 13.17% 24.26% 62.57%-0.49 -4.2 8
1976-10-07 Krylia Sovetov W 1-049.1 1831 1597 76.68% 18.75% 4.57%+1.20 +0.8 15
1976-10-07 @ Torpedo Moscow L 0-149.1 1597 1831 4.57% 18.75% 76.68%-1.20 -0.8 7
1976-10-07 Chernomorets Odesa W 4-047.8 1754 1730 63.59% 24.04% 12.37%+0.53 +8.6 11
1976-10-07 @ CSKA Moscow L 0-447.8 1730 1754 12.37% 24.04% 63.59%-0.53 -8.6 8
1976-10-08 Dynamo Moscow W 1-063.3 1711 1968 31.75% 24.89% 43.37%-0.36 +6.7 10
1976-10-08 @ Spartak Moscow L 0-163.3 1968 1711 43.37% 24.89% 31.75%+0.36 -6.7 11
1976-10-11 Zorya Voroshilovgrad W 3-044.4 1808 1630 73.74% 20.34% 5.92%+1.02 +3.1 10
1976-10-11 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-344.4 1630 1808 5.92% 20.34% 73.74%-1.02 -3.1 6
1976-10-11 CSKA Moscow D 3-383.5 1692 1763 55.10% 25.32% 19.58%+0.23 -0.8 11
1976-10-11 @ Zenit Leningrad D 3-383.5 1763 1692 19.58% 25.32% 55.10%-0.23 +0.8 12
1976-10-11 Ararat W 3-053.2 1676 1830 45.52% 25.63% 28.85%-0.03 +13.5 9
1976-10-11 @ Lokomotiv Moscow L 0-353.2 1830 1676 28.85% 25.63% 45.52%+0.03 -13.6 8
1976-10-12 Shakhtyor Donetsk W 2-055.1 1721 1876 45.54% 25.63% 28.83%-0.03 +9.3 10
1976-10-12 @ Chernomorets Odesa L 0-255.1 1876 1721 28.83% 25.63% 45.54%+0.03 -9.3 7
1976-10-12 Karpati Lvov W 1-056.7 1739 1828 53.19% 25.46% 21.35%+0.17 +3.9 9
1976-10-12 @ Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk L 0-156.7 1828 1739 21.35% 25.46% 53.19%-0.17 -3.9 12
1976-10-12 Dynamo Moscow W 1-066.6 1596 1961 20.17% 22.94% 56.89%-0.70 +8.4 9
1976-10-12 @ Krylia Sovetov L 0-166.6 1961 1596 56.89% 22.94% 20.17%+0.70 -8.4 11
1976-10-12 Spartak Moscow D 2-281.8 1832 1717 69.91% 22.06% 8.02%+0.82 -1.7 16
1976-10-12 @ Torpedo Moscow D 2-281.8 1717 1832 8.02% 22.06% 69.91%-0.82 +1.7 11
1976-10-15 Dinamo Minsk W 2-046.1 1811 1630 73.91% 20.26% 5.83%+1.03 +2.1 12
1976-10-15 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-246.1 1630 1811 5.83% 20.26% 73.91%-1.03 -2.1 8
1976-10-16 Chernomorets Odesa W 2-048.2 1816 1731 68.05% 22.75% 9.20%+0.73 +3.4 10
1976-10-16 @ Ararat L 0-248.2 1731 1816 9.20% 22.75% 68.05%-0.73 -3.4 10
1976-10-16 Torpedo Moscow W 3-264.9 1850 1830 63.31% 24.10% 12.59%+0.52 +2.2 11
1976-10-16 @ Dynamo Kyiv L 2-364.9 1830 1850 12.59% 24.10% 63.31%-0.52 -2.2 16
1976-10-16 Zenit Leningrad W 2-155.9 1953 1691 78.08% 17.92% 4.00%+1.29 +0.7 13
1976-10-16 @ Dynamo Moscow L 1-255.9 1691 1953 4.00% 17.92% 78.08%-1.29 -0.7 11
1976-10-16 Karpati Lvov D 0-069.7 1866 1824 64.97% 23.69% 11.34%+0.59 -2.2 8
1976-10-16 @ Shakhtyor Donetsk D 0-069.7 1824 1866 11.34% 23.69% 64.97%-0.59 +2.2 13
1976-10-16 Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk W 2-163.2 1627 1743 50.13% 25.59% 24.28%+0.09 +4.1 8
1976-10-16 @ Zorya Voroshilovgrad L 1-263.2 1743 1627 24.28% 25.59% 50.13%-0.09 -4.1 9
1976-10-17 CSKA Moscow W 1-055.9 1689 1764 54.71% 25.36% 19.93%+0.22 +3.7 11
1976-10-17 @ Lokomotiv Moscow L 0-155.9 1764 1689 19.93% 25.36% 54.71%-0.22 -3.7 12
1976-10-17 Spartak Moscow W 1-056.2 1605 1719 50.38% 25.59% 24.03%+0.09 +4.3 11
1976-10-17 @ Krylia Sovetov L 0-156.2 1719 1605 24.03% 25.59% 50.38%-0.09 -4.3 11
1976-10-22 Chernomorets Odesa L 0-167.8 1715 1727 60.56% 24.65% 14.80%+0.42 -9.2 11
1976-10-22 @ Spartak Moscow W 1-067.8 1727 1715 14.80% 24.65% 60.56%-0.42 +9.1 12
1976-10-23 Dinamo Tbilisi D 0-069.1 1760 1813 56.81% 25.16% 18.02%+0.29 -1.5 13
1976-10-23 @ CSKA Moscow D 0-069.1 1813 1760 18.02% 25.16% 56.81%-0.29 +1.5 13
1976-10-24 Zorya Voroshilovgrad L 1-272.7 1628 1631 61.37% 24.50% 14.13%+0.45 -8.7 8
1976-10-24 @ Dinamo Minsk W 2-172.7 1631 1628 14.13% 24.50% 61.37%-0.45 +8.7 10
1976-10-24 Dynamo Kyiv D 2-281.1 1826 1853 59.34% 24.84% 15.82%+0.37 -1.1 14
1976-10-24 @ Karpati Lvov D 2-281.1 1853 1826 15.82% 24.84% 59.34%-0.37 +1.2 12
1976-10-24 Shakhtyor Donetsk W 1-055.3 1828 1864 58.43% 24.97% 16.61%+0.34 +3.1 18
1976-10-24 @ Torpedo Moscow L 0-155.3 1864 1828 16.61% 24.97% 58.43%-0.34 -3.1 8
1976-10-24 Ararat W 5-053.2 1691 1820 48.62% 25.63% 25.75%+0.05 +20.0 13
1976-10-24 @ Zenit Leningrad L 0-553.2 1820 1691 25.75% 25.63% 48.62%-0.05 -20.0 10
1976-10-25 Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk W 3-044.4 1954 1739 75.71% 19.30% 4.99%+1.14 +2.5 15
1976-10-25 @ Dynamo Moscow L 0-344.4 1739 1954 4.99% 19.30% 75.71%-1.14 -2.5 9
1976-10-26 Krylia Sovetov D 0-068.2 1693 1609 67.91% 22.80% 9.29%+0.72 -2.4 12
1976-10-26 @ Lokomotiv Moscow D 0-068.2 1609 1693 9.29% 22.80% 67.91%-0.72 +2.4 12
1976-10-27 Dinamo Tbilisi W 3-155.3 1861 1815 65.26% 23.61% 11.13%+0.60 +3.5 10
1976-10-27 @ Shakhtyor Donetsk L 1-355.3 1815 1861 11.13% 23.61% 65.26%-0.60 -3.6 13
1976-10-30 CSKA Moscow D 1-175.3 1800 1758 64.91% 23.71% 11.38%+0.59 -2.0 11
1976-10-30 @ Ararat D 1-175.3 1758 1800 11.38% 23.71% 64.91%-0.59 +1.9 14
1976-10-30 Lokomotiv Moscow D 1-174.8 1736 1690 65.25% 23.61% 11.13%+0.60 -2.0 13
1976-10-30 @ Chernomorets Odesa D 1-174.8 1690 1736 11.13% 23.61% 65.25%-0.60 +2.0 13
1976-10-30 Krylia Sovetov W 2-045.3 1854 1612 77.12% 18.50% 4.38%+1.23 +1.5 14
1976-10-30 @ Dynamo Kyiv L 0-245.3 1612 1854 4.38% 18.50% 77.12%-1.23 -1.5 12
1976-10-30 Zenit Leningrad W 1-051.8 1811 1711 69.04% 22.40% 8.57%+0.78 +1.7 15
1976-10-30 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-151.8 1711 1811 8.57% 22.40% 69.04%-0.78 -1.7 13
1976-10-30 Torpedo Moscow W 1-056.9 1736 1831 52.58% 25.50% 21.92%+0.16 +4.0 11
1976-10-30 @ Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk L 0-156.9 1831 1736 21.92% 25.50% 52.58%-0.16 -4.0 18
1976-10-30 Dynamo Moscow W 2-054.4 1825 1956 48.39% 25.63% 25.98%+0.04 +8.6 16
1976-10-30 @ Karpati Lvov L 0-254.4 1956 1825 25.98% 25.63% 48.39%-0.04 -8.6 15
1976-10-30 Dinamo Minsk W 2-155.7 1864 1619 77.30% 18.39% 4.31%+1.24 +0.7 12
1976-10-30 @ Shakhtyor Donetsk L 1-255.7 1619 1864 4.31% 18.39% 77.30%-1.24 -0.7 8
1976-10-30 Spartak Moscow W 2-050.9 1639 1706 55.56% 25.28% 19.16%+0.25 +6.7 12
1976-10-30 @ Zorya Voroshilovgrad L 0-250.9 1706 1639 19.16% 25.28% 55.56%-0.25 -6.7 11
1976-11-05 Zorya Voroshilovgrad W 1-051.9 1692 1646 65.27% 23.61% 11.12%+0.60 +2.2 15
1976-11-05 @ Lokomotiv Moscow L 0-151.9 1646 1692 11.12% 23.61% 65.27%-0.60 -2.2 12
1976-11-06 Karpati Lvov D 1-174.9 1760 1834 54.83% 25.35% 19.83%+0.22 -1.2 15
1976-11-06 @ CSKA Moscow D 1-174.9 1834 1760 19.83% 25.35% 54.83%-0.22 +1.2 17
1976-11-06 Chernomorets Odesa W 2-052.8 1610 1735 49.18% 25.62% 25.20%+0.06 +8.4 14
1976-11-06 @ Krylia Sovetov L 0-252.8 1735 1610 25.20% 25.62% 49.18%-0.06 -8.4 13
1976-11-06 Dinamo Tbilisi W 1-053.9 1827 1813 62.77% 24.22% 13.01%+0.50 +2.5 20
1976-11-06 @ Torpedo Moscow L 0-153.9 1813 1827 13.01% 24.22% 62.77%-0.50 -2.5 15
1976-11-06 Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk D 0-068.8 1709 1740 58.91% 24.90% 16.19%+0.36 -1.7 14
1976-11-06 @ Zenit Leningrad D 0-068.8 1740 1709 16.19% 24.90% 58.91%-0.36 +1.7 12
1976-11-08 Dynamo Kyiv L 0-354.5 1618 1855 34.39% 25.13% 40.48%-0.30 -15.4 8
1976-11-08 @ Dinamo Minsk W 3-054.5 1855 1618 40.48% 25.13% 34.39%+0.30 +15.4 16
1976-11-08 Shakhtyor Donetsk W 1-059.4 1699 1865 43.98% 25.61% 30.41%-0.07 +5.2 13
1976-11-08 @ Spartak Moscow L 0-159.4 1865 1699 30.41% 25.61% 43.98%+0.07 -5.2 12
1976-11-09 Ararat D 0-070.5 1948 1798 72.07% 21.14% 6.79%+0.93 -2.7 16
1976-11-09 @ Dynamo Moscow D 0-070.5 1798 1948 6.79% 21.14% 72.07%-0.93 +2.7 12
1976-11-10 CSKA Moscow W 1-054.4 1742 1759 60.16% 24.71% 15.12%+0.40 +2.9 14
1976-11-10 @ Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk L 0-154.4 1759 1742 15.12% 24.71% 60.16%-0.40 -2.9 15
1976-11-10 Zenit Leningrad L 0-364.7 1835 1707 70.74% 21.72% 7.54%+0.86 -28.8 17
1976-11-10 @ Karpati Lvov W 3-064.7 1707 1835 7.54% 21.72% 70.74%-0.86 +28.8 16
1976-11-10 Krylia Sovetov W 1-051.4 1644 1618 63.69% 24.01% 12.30%+0.54 +2.4 14
1976-11-10 @ Zorya Voroshilovgrad L 0-151.4 1618 1644 12.30% 24.01% 63.69%-0.54 -2.4 14
1976-11-12 Dinamo Minsk W 2-046.3 1726 1603 70.49% 21.83% 7.68%+0.85 +2.8 15
1976-11-12 @ Chernomorets Odesa L 0-246.3 1603 1726 7.68% 21.83% 70.49%-0.85 -2.8 8
1976-11-12 Spartak Moscow W 3-152.8 1871 1704 73.07% 20.67% 6.26%+0.99 +1.9 18
1976-11-12 @ Dynamo Kyiv L 1-352.8 1704 1871 6.26% 20.67% 73.07%-0.99 -2.0 13
1976-11-12 Lokomotiv Moscow W 1-050.7 1860 1695 73.00% 20.71% 6.29%+0.98 +1.2 14
1976-11-12 @ Shakhtyor Donetsk L 0-150.7 1695 1860 6.29% 20.71% 73.00%-0.98 -1.2 15
1976-11-13 Torpedo Moscow W 1-055.0 1801 1829 59.14% 24.87% 15.99%+0.37 +3.0 14
1976-11-13 @ Ararat L 0-155.0 1829 1801 15.99% 24.87% 59.14%-0.37 -3.0 20
1976-11-13 Dynamo Moscow W 3-160.5 1810 1945 48.00% 25.63% 26.37%+0.03 +7.5 17
1976-11-13 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 1-360.5 1945 1810 26.37% 25.63% 48.00%-0.03 -7.5 16

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1976-11-10 7.54% Zenit Leningrad 1707 3 @ Karpati Lvov 1835 0
2 1976-09-11 7.86% Spartak Moscow 1712 3 @ Ararat 1831 2
3 1976-08-18 8.63% Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk 1769 3 @ Dynamo Kyiv 1868 1
4 1976-09-02 11.28% Spartak Moscow 1705 2 @ CSKA Moscow 1749 1
5 1976-10-03 12.13% Chernomorets Odesa 1721 2 @ Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk 1749 1
6 1976-08-17 12.61% Zenit Leningrad 1679 2 @ Spartak Moscow 1699 1
7 1976-08-21 13.98% Spartak Moscow 1690 3 @ Lokomotiv Moscow 1689 1
8 1976-10-24 14.13% Zorya Voroshilovgrad 1631 2 @ Dinamo Minsk 1628 1
9 1976-10-22 14.80% Chernomorets Odesa 1727 1 @ Spartak Moscow 1715 0
10 1976-08-14 15.34% Torpedo Moscow 1780 2 @ CSKA Moscow 1760 0
11 1976-08-14 17.38% Lokomotiv Moscow 1680 1 @ Dinamo Minsk 1635 0
12 1976-09-25 19.68% Dynamo Moscow 1959 1 @ Shakhtyor Donetsk 1887 0
13 1976-10-12 20.17% @ Krylia Sovetov 1596 1 Dynamo Moscow 1961 0
14 1976-08-22 21.00% Shakhtyor Donetsk 1871 3 @ Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk 1786 0
15 1976-08-27 21.55% Karpati Lvov 1819 1 @ Chernomorets Odesa 1728 0
16 1976-09-19 22.81% Karpati Lvov 1825 1 @ Spartak Moscow 1722 0
17 1976-09-26 22.84% CSKA Moscow 1742 1 @ Zorya Voroshilovgrad 1639 0
18 1976-09-26 27.66% Torpedo Moscow 1828 1 @ Lokomotiv Moscow 1683 0
19 1976-09-19 29.98% Torpedo Moscow 1815 2 @ Zorya Voroshilovgrad 1652 0
20 1976-08-27 30.92% Torpedo Moscow 1797 1 @ Dinamo Minsk 1627 0
21 1976-10-08 31.75% @ Spartak Moscow 1711 1 Dynamo Moscow 1968 0
22 1976-09-20 32.33% @ Chernomorets Odesa 1712 2 Dynamo Moscow 1965 1
23 1976-09-26 33.77% @ Krylia Sovetov 1591 3 Karpati Lvov 1833 1
24 1976-09-19 34.64% Ararat 1822 2 @ Dinamo Minsk 1625 1
25 1976-08-29 35.94% @ CSKA Moscow 1743 2 Dynamo Moscow 1969 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1976-11-10 28.84 Zenit Leningrad 3 1707 7.54% @ Karpati Lvov 0 1835 70.74% 21.72%
2 1976-08-22 22.30 Shakhtyor Donetsk 3 1871 21.00% @ Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk 0 1786 53.56% 25.44%
3 1976-10-24 19.99 @ Zenit Leningrad 5 1691 48.62% Ararat 0 1820 25.75% 25.63%
4 1976-08-14 17.07 Torpedo Moscow 2 1780 15.34% @ CSKA Moscow 0 1760 59.90% 24.75%
5 1976-08-18 16.83 Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk 3 1769 8.63% @ Dynamo Kyiv 1 1868 68.93% 22.44%
6 1976-11-08 15.41 Dynamo Kyiv 3 1855 40.48% @ Dinamo Minsk 0 1618 34.39% 25.13%
7 1976-08-21 15.17 Spartak Moscow 3 1690 13.98% @ Lokomotiv Moscow 1 1689 61.55% 24.47%
8 1976-10-11 13.56 @ Lokomotiv Moscow 3 1676 45.52% Ararat 0 1830 28.85% 25.63%
9 1976-09-19 13.00 Torpedo Moscow 2 1815 29.98% @ Zorya Voroshilovgrad 0 1652 44.40% 25.62%
10 1976-09-26 10.52 @ Krylia Sovetov 3 1591 33.77% Karpati Lvov 1 1833 41.16% 25.08%
11 1976-09-11 9.36 Spartak Moscow 3 1712 7.86% @ Ararat 2 1831 70.19% 21.95%
12 1976-10-12 9.33 @ Chernomorets Odesa 2 1721 45.54% Shakhtyor Donetsk 0 1876 28.83% 25.63%
13 1976-09-02 9.23 Spartak Moscow 2 1705 11.28% @ CSKA Moscow 1 1749 65.05% 23.67%
14 1976-10-22 9.15 Chernomorets Odesa 1 1727 14.80% @ Spartak Moscow 0 1715 60.56% 24.65%
15 1976-10-03 9.08 Chernomorets Odesa 2 1721 12.13% @ Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk 1 1749 63.92% 23.96%
16 1976-08-17 8.99 Zenit Leningrad 2 1679 12.61% @ Spartak Moscow 1 1699 63.29% 24.10%
17 1976-09-25 8.87 @ Dinamo Minsk 2 1619 47.36% Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk 0 1758 27.00% 25.64%
18 1976-10-24 8.74 Zorya Voroshilovgrad 2 1631 14.13% @ Dinamo Minsk 1 1628 61.37% 24.50%
19 1976-08-14 8.71 Lokomotiv Moscow 1 1680 17.38% @ Dinamo Minsk 0 1635 57.54% 25.08%
20 1976-10-07 8.62 @ CSKA Moscow 4 1754 63.59% Chernomorets Odesa 0 1730 12.37% 24.04%
21 1976-10-30 8.60 @ Karpati Lvov 2 1825 48.39% Dynamo Moscow 0 1956 25.98% 25.63%
22 1976-10-12 8.43 @ Krylia Sovetov 1 1596 20.17% Dynamo Moscow 0 1961 56.89% 22.94%
23 1976-11-06 8.40 @ Krylia Sovetov 2 1610 49.18% Chernomorets Odesa 0 1735 25.20% 25.62%
24 1976-09-25 8.35 Dynamo Moscow 1 1959 19.68% @ Shakhtyor Donetsk 0 1887 54.99% 25.33%
25 1976-08-27 8.06 Karpati Lvov 1 1819 21.55% @ Chernomorets Odesa 0 1728 52.98% 25.47%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1976-10-11 83.5 @ Zenit Leningrad 3 1692 55.10% CSKA Moscow 3 1763 19.58% 25.32%
2 1976-08-18 82.1 @ Karpati Lvov 2 1821 74.66% Dinamo Minsk 2 1626 5.47% 19.87%
3 1976-10-12 81.8 @ Torpedo Moscow 2 1832 69.91% Spartak Moscow 2 1717 8.02% 22.06%
4 1976-08-14 81.3 @ Ararat 2 1839 63.24% Karpati Lvov 2 1820 12.65% 24.12%
5 1976-09-11 81.3 Spartak Moscow 3 1712 7.86% @ Ararat 2 1831 70.19% 21.95%
6 1976-10-24 81.1 @ Karpati Lvov 2 1826 59.34% Dynamo Kyiv 2 1853 15.82% 24.84%
7 1976-09-19 75.8 @ Dynamo Kyiv 1 1847 69.42% CSKA Moscow 1 1740 8.33% 22.25%
8 1976-09-02 75.4 Spartak Moscow 2 1705 11.28% @ CSKA Moscow 1 1749 65.05% 23.67%
9 1976-10-30 75.3 @ Ararat 1 1800 64.91% CSKA Moscow 1 1758 11.38% 23.71%
10 1976-10-03 75.2 Chernomorets Odesa 2 1721 12.13% @ Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk 1 1749 63.92% 23.96%
11 1976-08-22 75.1 @ Dinamo Tbilisi 1 1809 59.40% Ararat 1 1835 15.77% 24.83%
12 1976-09-01 74.9 @ Torpedo Moscow 1 1804 44.96% Dynamo Moscow 1 1963 29.42% 25.63%
13 1976-11-06 74.9 @ CSKA Moscow 1 1760 54.83% Karpati Lvov 1 1834 19.83% 25.35%
14 1976-10-30 74.8 @ Chernomorets Odesa 1 1736 65.25% Lokomotiv Moscow 1 1690 11.13% 23.61%
15 1976-08-17 74.6 Zenit Leningrad 2 1679 12.61% @ Spartak Moscow 1 1699 63.29% 24.10%
16 1976-09-11 74.6 @ Zenit Leningrad 1 1692 45.53% Dynamo Kyiv 1 1846 28.84% 25.63%
17 1976-10-07 74.6 @ Zorya Voroshilovgrad 1 1630 36.61% Dynamo Kyiv 1 1850 38.10% 25.29%
18 1976-10-04 74.4 @ Spartak Moscow 1 1713 68.02% Dinamo Minsk 1 1628 9.22% 22.76%
19 1976-10-24 72.7 Zorya Voroshilovgrad 2 1631 14.13% @ Dinamo Minsk 1 1628 61.37% 24.50%
20 1976-08-18 72.2 Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk 3 1769 8.63% @ Dynamo Kyiv 1 1868 68.93% 22.44%
21 1976-08-18 70.8 @ Shakhtyor Donetsk 0 1874 76.30% Zorya Voroshilovgrad 0 1648 4.73% 18.97%
22 1976-08-18 70.6 @ Ararat 0 1838 77.29% Krylia Sovetov 0 1592 4.31% 18.40%
23 1976-11-09 70.5 @ Dynamo Moscow 0 1948 72.07% Ararat 0 1798 6.79% 21.14%
24 1976-09-07 69.9 @ Dinamo Tbilisi 0 1810 71.09% Lokomotiv Moscow 0 1677 7.33% 21.57%
25 1976-08-21 69.7 Spartak Moscow 3 1690 13.98% @ Lokomotiv Moscow 1 1689 61.55% 24.47%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1976-08-22 44.3 @ Dynamo Moscow 2 1968 81.68% Dinamo Minsk 0 1628 2.75% 15.57%
2 1976-10-11 44.4 @ Dinamo Tbilisi 3 1808 73.74% Zorya Voroshilovgrad 0 1630 5.92% 20.34%
3 1976-10-25 44.4 @ Dynamo Moscow 3 1954 75.71% Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk 0 1739 4.99% 19.30%
4 1976-10-30 45.3 @ Dynamo Kyiv 2 1854 77.12% Krylia Sovetov 0 1612 4.38% 18.50%
5 1976-10-15 46.1 @ Dinamo Tbilisi 2 1811 73.91% Dinamo Minsk 0 1630 5.83% 20.26%
6 1976-11-12 46.3 @ Chernomorets Odesa 2 1726 70.49% Dinamo Minsk 0 1603 7.68% 21.83%
7 1976-09-12 46.5 @ Torpedo Moscow 4 1809 68.36% Chernomorets Odesa 0 1719 9.00% 22.64%
8 1976-10-02 47.5 @ CSKA Moscow 5 1750 72.05% Krylia Sovetov 1 1601 6.80% 21.15%
9 1976-10-07 47.8 @ CSKA Moscow 4 1754 63.59% Chernomorets Odesa 0 1730 12.37% 24.04%
10 1976-10-16 48.2 @ Ararat 2 1816 68.05% Chernomorets Odesa 0 1731 9.20% 22.75%
11 1976-09-11 48.6 @ Dynamo Moscow 1 1965 80.45% Zorya Voroshilovgrad 0 1653 3.14% 16.40%
12 1976-10-03 48.9 @ Dynamo Moscow 1 1967 79.50% Lokomotiv Moscow 0 1676 3.47% 17.03%
13 1976-10-07 49.1 @ Torpedo Moscow 1 1831 76.68% Krylia Sovetov 0 1597 4.57% 18.75%
14 1976-09-12 49.9 @ Karpati Lvov 4 1822 71.64% Lokomotiv Moscow 1 1679 7.02% 21.33%
15 1976-11-12 50.7 @ Shakhtyor Donetsk 1 1860 73.00% Lokomotiv Moscow 0 1695 6.29% 20.71%
16 1976-09-05 50.9 @ Torpedo Moscow 2 1803 59.58% Karpati Lvov 0 1827 15.61% 24.80%
17 1976-10-30 50.9 @ Zorya Voroshilovgrad 2 1639 55.56% Spartak Moscow 0 1706 19.16% 25.28%
18 1976-08-13 51.1 @ Krylia Sovetov 2 1585 51.78% Zenit Leningrad 0 1687 22.69% 25.53%
19 1976-09-03 51.4 @ Dynamo Kyiv 1 1846 70.65% Chernomorets Odesa 0 1720 7.59% 21.76%
20 1976-11-10 51.4 @ Zorya Voroshilovgrad 1 1644 63.69% Krylia Sovetov 0 1618 12.30% 24.01%
21 1976-10-30 51.8 @ Dinamo Tbilisi 1 1811 69.04% Zenit Leningrad 0 1711 8.57% 22.40%
22 1976-09-07 51.9 @ Dynamo Moscow 1 1963 70.00% Dynamo Kyiv 0 1848 7.97% 22.03%
23 1976-09-11 51.9 @ Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk 3 1764 72.98% Krylia Sovetov 1 1598 6.30% 20.71%
24 1976-11-05 51.9 @ Lokomotiv Moscow 1 1692 65.27% Zorya Voroshilovgrad 0 1646 11.12% 23.61%
25 1976-10-03 52.0 @ Karpati Lvov 3 1822 74.41% Zorya Voroshilovgrad 1 1631 5.59% 20.00%