Autumn 1976 Vysshaya Liga Season
120 games
Champion
Torpedo Moscow
20 points
Relegated
No relegation
Biggest Overachiever
Torpedo Moscow
4.26 points above expected
20 points · 15.74 expected points
Biggest Disappointment
Shakhtyor Donetsk
4.87 points below expected
14 points · 18.87 expected points
League Table
The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Pts | GF | GA | GD | SimPts | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Torpedo Moscow | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 9 | +11 | 15.74 | +4.26 |
| 2 | Dynamo Kyiv | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 22 | 16 | +6 | 16.73 | +1.27 |
| 3 | Karpati Lvov | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 22 | 19 | +3 | 16.47 | +0.53 |
| 4 | Dinamo Tbilisi | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 12 | +4 | 16.62 | +0.38 |
| 5 | Dynamo Moscow | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 13 | +2 | 19.72 | -3.72 |
| 6 | Zenit Leningrad | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 22 | 16 | +6 | 13.13 | +2.87 |
| 7 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 13.55 | +1.45 |
| 8 | CSKA Moscow | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 21 | 16 | +5 | 15.31 | -0.31 |
| 9 | Chernomorets Odesa | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 13.82 | +1.18 |
| 10 | Zorya Voroshilovgrad | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 12.77 | +1.23 |
| 11 | Shakhtyor Donetsk | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 18.87 | -4.87 |
| 12 | Ararat | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 16.76 | -2.76 |
| 13 | Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 15.51 | -1.51 |
| 14 | Krylia Sovetov | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 9.85 | +4.15 |
| 15 | Spartak Moscow | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 13.03 | -0.03 |
| 16 | Dinamo Minsk | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 12.12 | -4.12 |
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.
Biggest Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Torpedo Moscow | 20 | 15.74 | +4.26 |
| 2 | Krylia Sovetov | 14 | 9.85 | +4.15 |
| 3 | Zenit Leningrad | 16 | 13.13 | +2.87 |
| 4 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 15 | 13.55 | +1.45 |
| 5 | Dynamo Kyiv | 18 | 16.73 | +1.27 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shakhtyor Donetsk | 14 | 18.87 | -4.87 |
| 2 | Dinamo Minsk | 8 | 12.12 | -4.12 |
| 3 | Dynamo Moscow | 16 | 19.72 | -3.72 |
| 4 | Ararat | 14 | 16.76 | -2.76 |
| 5 | Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | 14 | 15.51 | -1.51 |
Top Streaks
Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.
Most Unlikely Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spartak Moscow | 2 | Aug 21 – Sep 2 | 1 in 63 |
| 2 | Chernomorets Odesa | 3 | Sep 20 – Oct 3 | 1 in 40 |
| 3 | Torpedo Moscow | 4 | Sep 5 – Sep 26 | 1 in 30 |
| 4 | Zorya Voroshilovgrad | 3 | Oct 16 – Oct 30 | 1 in 25 |
| 5 | Zenit Leningrad | 2 | Aug 17 – Aug 26 | 1 in 13 |
Most Unlikely Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Minsk | 5 | Oct 15 – Nov 12 | 1 in 43 |
| 2 | Zorya Voroshilovgrad | 5 | Sep 4 – Oct 3 | 1 in 38 |
| 3 | Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | 3 | Sep 20 – Oct 3 | 1 in 33 |
| 4 | Ararat | 2 | Aug 26 – Sep 11 | 1 in 31 |
| 5 | Dynamo Kyiv | 2 | Aug 18 – Aug 31 | 1 in 27 |
Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dynamo Kyiv | 11 | Sep 11 – Nov 12 | 1 in 120 |
| 2 | Krylia Sovetov | 4 | Aug 13 – Sep 4 | 1 in 31 |
| 3 | Torpedo Moscow | 7 | Aug 14 – Sep 26 | 1 in 27 |
| 4 | CSKA Moscow | 5 | Sep 19 – Oct 11 | 1 in 18 |
| 5 | Karpati Lvov | 4 | Oct 16 – Nov 6 | 1 in 10 |
Most Unlikely Winless Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ararat | 5 | Aug 14 – Sep 11 | 1 in 71 |
| 2 | Shakhtyor Donetsk | 6 | Sep 22 – Oct 24 | 1 in 37 |
| 3 | Dinamo Minsk | 6 | Aug 14 – Sep 4 | 1 in 14 |
| 4 | CSKA Moscow | 6 | Oct 11 – Nov 10 | 1 in 11 |
| 5 | Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | 4 | Sep 20 – Oct 7 | 1 in 10 |
Position Race
Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.
Recent Form
Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.
| Team | Elo | Season Pts | Form | Elo Δ (5) | Points (5) | Expected (5) | Actual − Exp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torpedo Moscow | 1826 | 20 | -4 | 4 | 4.7 | -0.7 | |
| Dynamo Kyiv | 1873 | 18 | +22 | 9 | 6.5 | +2.5 | |
| Karpati Lvov | 1806 | 17 | -18 | 5 | 5.4 | -0.4 | |
| Dinamo Tbilisi | 1818 | 17 | +5 | 5 | 4.4 | +0.6 | |
| Zenit Leningrad | 1736 | 16 | +45 | 5 | 3.7 | +1.3 | |
| Dynamo Moscow | 1937 | 16 | -16 | 5 | 6.7 | -1.7 | |
| Lokomotiv Moscow | 1693 | 15 | +4 | 6 | 5.3 | +0.7 | |
| Chernomorets Odesa | 1729 | 15 | -2 | 5 | 4.9 | +0.1 | |
| CSKA Moscow | 1756 | 15 | -7 | 3 | 4.4 | -1.4 | |
| Zorya Voroshilovgrad | 1646 | 14 | +20 | 8 | 5.1 | +2.9 | |
| Ararat | 1804 | 14 | -13 | 6 | 5.7 | +0.3 | |
| Shakhtyor Donetsk | 1861 | 14 | -3 | 6 | 6.4 | -0.4 | |
| Krylia Sovetov | 1616 | 14 | +11 | 5 | 3.7 | +1.3 | |
| Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | 1745 | 14 | +2 | 5 | 4.4 | +0.6 | |
| Spartak Moscow | 1702 | 13 | -17 | 2 | 4.3 | -2.3 | |
| Dinamo Minsk | 1600 | 8 | -30 | 0 | 3.4 | -3.4 |
Head-to-Head
Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.
| Team | ARA | CM | CO | DM | DT | DD | DK | DM | KL | KS | LM | SD | SM | TM | ZL | ZV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ararat | — |
0-1-0
2.18
|
1-0-0
2.27
|
1-0-0
1.29
|
0-1-0
0.72
|
0-1-0
0.89
|
0-0-1
0.62
|
0-1-0
0.42
|
0-1-0
2.14
|
0-1-0
2.50
|
0-0-1
1.12
|
1-0-0
1.96
|
0-0-1
2.33
|
1-0-0
2.02
|
0-0-1
1.03
|
0-0-1
1.25
|
| CSKA Moscow |
0-1-0
0.58
|
— |
1-0-0
2.15
|
0-0-1
1.01
|
0-1-0
1.96
|
0-0-1
0.70
|
0-1-0
0.47
|
1-0-0
1.33
|
0-1-0
1.90
|
1-0-0
2.37
|
0-0-1
0.85
|
1-0-0
1.63
|
0-0-1
2.19
|
0-0-1
2.04
|
0-1-0
0.84
|
1-0-0
0.94
|
| Chernomorets Odesa |
0-0-1
0.50
|
0-0-1
0.61
|
— |
1-0-0
2.33
|
1-0-0
1.85
|
1-0-0
0.60
|
0-0-1
0.45
|
1-0-0
1.22
|
0-0-1
1.84
|
0-0-1
1.01
|
0-1-0
2.19
|
1-0-0
1.62
|
1-0-0
0.69
|
0-0-1
0.50
|
1-0-0
2.16
|
0-0-1
0.88
|
| Dinamo Minsk |
0-0-1
1.45
|
1-0-0
1.73
|
0-0-1
0.45
|
— |
0-0-1
0.38
|
1-0-0
1.68
|
0-0-1
1.28
|
0-0-1
0.24
|
0-1-0
0.36
|
0-1-0
2.15
|
0-0-1
1.98
|
0-0-1
0.31
|
0-1-0
0.50
|
0-0-1
1.56
|
0-1-0
0.53
|
0-0-1
2.09
|
| Dinamo Tbilisi |
0-1-0
2.03
|
0-1-0
0.79
|
0-0-1
0.89
|
1-0-0
2.42
|
— |
1-0-0
2.19
|
0-1-0
2.01
|
1-0-0
1.70
|
0-0-1
0.64
|
1-0-0
1.35
|
0-1-0
2.35
|
0-0-1
0.57
|
0-1-0
0.93
|
0-0-1
0.63
|
1-0-0
2.30
|
1-0-0
2.42
|
| Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk |
0-1-0
1.85
|
1-0-0
2.05
|
0-0-1
2.16
|
0-0-1
1.07
|
0-0-1
0.57
|
— |
1-0-0
0.48
|
0-0-1
0.34
|
1-0-0
1.85
|
1-0-0
2.40
|
0-0-1
0.90
|
0-0-1
1.86
|
1-0-0
2.20
|
1-0-0
1.83
|
0-1-0
0.73
|
0-0-1
0.98
|
| Dynamo Kyiv |
1-0-0
2.14
|
0-1-0
2.31
|
1-0-0
2.34
|
1-0-0
1.47
|
0-1-0
0.74
|
0-0-1
2.29
|
— |
0-0-1
0.46
|
0-1-0
0.72
|
1-0-0
2.50
|
0-0-1
1.22
|
0-1-0
0.57
|
1-0-0
2.40
|
1-0-0
2.14
|
0-1-0
1.12
|
0-1-0
1.40
|
| Dynamo Moscow |
0-1-0
2.37
|
0-0-1
1.42
|
0-0-1
1.53
|
1-0-0
2.61
|
0-0-1
1.05
|
1-0-0
2.46
|
1-0-0
2.32
|
— |
0-0-1
1.04
|
0-0-1
1.94
|
1-0-0
2.56
|
1-0-0
0.84
|
0-0-1
1.55
|
0-1-0
1.14
|
1-0-0
2.52
|
1-0-0
2.58
|
| Karpati Lvov |
0-1-0
0.62
|
0-1-0
0.85
|
1-0-0
0.90
|
0-1-0
2.44
|
1-0-0
2.12
|
0-0-1
0.90
|
0-1-0
2.03
|
1-0-0
1.71
|
— |
0-0-1
1.49
|
1-0-0
2.36
|
0-1-0
0.58
|
1-0-0
0.94
|
0-0-1
0.72
|
0-0-1
2.34
|
1-0-0
2.43
|
| Krylia Sovetov |
0-1-0
0.31
|
0-0-1
0.42
|
1-0-0
1.73
|
0-1-0
0.61
|
0-0-1
1.39
|
0-0-1
0.40
|
0-0-1
0.32
|
1-0-0
0.83
|
1-0-0
1.26
|
— |
0-1-0
0.51
|
0-1-0
1.05
|
1-0-0
1.77
|
0-0-1
0.32
|
1-0-0
1.81
|
0-0-1
0.61
|
| Lokomotiv Moscow |
1-0-0
1.62
|
1-0-0
1.89
|
0-1-0
0.57
|
1-0-0
0.77
|
0-1-0
0.44
|
1-0-0
1.85
|
1-0-0
1.52
|
0-0-1
0.27
|
0-0-1
0.42
|
0-1-0
2.27
|
— |
0-0-1
0.40
|
0-0-1
2.09
|
0-0-1
1.66
|
0-0-1
0.63
|
1-0-0
2.19
|
| Shakhtyor Donetsk |
0-0-1
0.79
|
0-0-1
1.12
|
0-0-1
1.12
|
1-0-0
2.50
|
1-0-0
2.19
|
1-0-0
0.88
|
0-1-0
2.19
|
0-0-1
1.90
|
0-1-0
2.19
|
0-1-0
1.71
|
1-0-0
2.40
|
— |
0-0-1
1.17
|
0-0-1
0.75
|
1-0-0
2.44
|
0-1-0
2.48
|
| Spartak Moscow |
1-0-0
0.46
|
1-0-0
0.58
|
0-0-1
2.06
|
0-1-0
2.27
|
0-1-0
1.82
|
0-0-1
0.57
|
0-0-1
0.39
|
1-0-0
1.20
|
0-0-1
1.80
|
0-0-1
0.98
|
1-0-0
0.66
|
1-0-0
1.58
|
— |
0-1-0
0.46
|
0-0-1
2.14
|
0-0-1
0.83
|
| Torpedo Moscow |
0-0-1
0.73
|
1-0-0
0.71
|
1-0-0
2.28
|
1-0-0
1.18
|
1-0-0
2.13
|
0-0-1
0.91
|
0-0-1
0.62
|
0-1-0
1.61
|
1-0-0
2.04
|
1-0-0
2.49
|
1-0-0
1.09
|
1-0-0
2.00
|
0-1-0
2.32
|
— |
0-0-1
1.10
|
1-0-0
1.16
|
| Zenit Leningrad |
1-0-0
1.71
|
0-1-0
1.91
|
0-0-1
0.60
|
0-1-0
2.24
|
0-0-1
0.48
|
0-1-0
2.02
|
0-1-0
1.62
|
0-0-1
0.30
|
1-0-0
0.44
|
0-0-1
0.94
|
1-0-0
2.12
|
0-0-1
0.36
|
1-0-0
0.62
|
1-0-0
1.65
|
— |
1-0-0
2.16
|
| Zorya Voroshilovgrad |
1-0-0
1.50
|
0-0-1
1.80
|
1-0-0
1.87
|
1-0-0
0.67
|
0-0-1
0.38
|
1-0-0
1.76
|
0-1-0
1.35
|
0-0-1
0.26
|
0-0-1
0.37
|
1-0-0
2.15
|
0-0-1
0.57
|
0-1-0
0.33
|
1-0-0
1.92
|
0-0-1
1.59
|
0-0-1
0.60
|
— |
Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential
Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).
Fit Metrics
| R² | Slope | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 0.50 | +4.4 |
| Allowed | 0.31 | -4.1 |
| Differential | 0.73 | +3.8 |
Scoreline Distribution
Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12.50% | 15.00% | 6.25% | 2.50% | 0.83% | 0.42% | 37.50% |
| 1 | 15.00% | 7.50% | 6.25% | 4.58% | 0.42% | 0.42% | 34.17% |
| 2 | 6.25% | 6.25% | 3.33% | 1.25% | — | — | 17.08% |
| 3 | 2.50% | 4.58% | 1.25% | 0.83% | — | — | 9.17% |
| 4 | 0.83% | 0.42% | — | — | — | — | 1.25% |
| 5+ | 0.42% | 0.42% | — | — | — | — | 0.83% |
| Total | 37.50% | 34.17% | 17.08% | 9.17% | 1.25% | 0.83% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.05 | 1.05 | +0.00 |
| SD | 1.08 | 1.08 | 1.57 |
| CV | 1.03 | 1.03 | — |
| Max | 5 | 5 | +5 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -5 |
Games Played: 120
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 20.00% | 6.67% | — | 6.67% | — | 6.67% | 40.00% |
| 1 | 13.33% | 13.33% | — | — | — | — | 26.67% |
| 2 | 6.67% | 6.67% | 6.67% | 13.33% | — | — | 33.33% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 40.00% | 26.67% | 6.67% | 20.00% | — | 6.67% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 0.93 | 1.33 | -0.40 |
| SD | 0.88 | 1.54 | 1.72 |
| CV | 0.95 | 1.16 | — |
| Max | 2 | 5 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -5 |
Games Played: 15
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.67% | 13.33% | 6.67% | — | — | — | 26.67% |
| 1 | 13.33% | 20.00% | 13.33% | — | — | — | 46.67% |
| 2 | — | 6.67% | — | — | — | — | 6.67% |
| 3 | — | — | — | 6.67% | — | — | 6.67% |
| 4 | 6.67% | — | — | — | — | — | 6.67% |
| 5+ | — | 6.67% | — | — | — | — | 6.67% |
| Total | 26.67% | 46.67% | 20.00% | 6.67% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.40 | 1.07 | +0.33 |
| SD | 1.50 | 0.88 | 1.72 |
| CV | 1.07 | 0.83 | — |
| Max | 5 | 3 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 15
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 20.00% | 13.33% | — | 13.33% | — | 46.67% |
| 1 | 6.67% | 6.67% | — | — | — | — | 13.33% |
| 2 | 13.33% | 26.67% | — | — | — | — | 40.00% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 20.00% | 53.33% | 13.33% | — | 13.33% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 0.93 | 1.33 | -0.40 |
| SD | 0.96 | 1.23 | 1.96 |
| CV | 1.03 | 0.93 | — |
| Max | 2 | 4 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 15
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.33% | 13.33% | 20.00% | 6.67% | — | — | 53.33% |
| 1 | — | 6.67% | 20.00% | — | — | — | 26.67% |
| 2 | 6.67% | 6.67% | 6.67% | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 20.00% | 26.67% | 46.67% | 6.67% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 0.67 | 1.40 | -0.73 |
| SD | 0.82 | 0.91 | 1.28 |
| CV | 1.22 | 0.65 | — |
| Max | 2 | 3 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 15
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 26.67% | 6.67% | — | — | — | — | 33.33% |
| 1 | 13.33% | 6.67% | 6.67% | 13.33% | — | — | 40.00% |
| 2 | 6.67% | 6.67% | — | — | — | — | 13.33% |
| 3 | 6.67% | 6.67% | — | — | — | — | 13.33% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 53.33% | 26.67% | 6.67% | 13.33% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.07 | 0.80 | +0.27 |
| SD | 1.03 | 1.08 | 1.44 |
| CV | 0.97 | 1.35 | — |
| Max | 3 | 3 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 15
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.33% | 6.67% | 13.33% | 13.33% | — | — | 46.67% |
| 1 | 26.67% | — | 13.33% | — | — | — | 40.00% |
| 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | — | 13.33% | — | — | — | — | 13.33% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 40.00% | 20.00% | 26.67% | 13.33% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 0.80 | 1.13 | -0.33 |
| SD | 1.01 | 1.13 | 1.68 |
| CV | 1.27 | 0.99 | — |
| Max | 3 | 3 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 15
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.33% | 6.67% | — | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 1 | 6.67% | 20.00% | 6.67% | 6.67% | — | — | 40.00% |
| 2 | 6.67% | — | 6.67% | — | — | — | 13.33% |
| 3 | 6.67% | 6.67% | 13.33% | — | — | — | 26.67% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 33.33% | 33.33% | 26.67% | 6.67% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.47 | 1.07 | +0.40 |
| SD | 1.13 | 0.96 | 1.30 |
| CV | 0.77 | 0.90 | — |
| Max | 3 | 3 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 15
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.67% | 13.33% | 6.67% | — | — | — | 26.67% |
| 1 | 26.67% | 6.67% | 13.33% | 6.67% | — | — | 53.33% |
| 2 | 6.67% | 6.67% | — | — | — | — | 13.33% |
| 3 | 6.67% | — | — | — | — | — | 6.67% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 46.67% | 26.67% | 20.00% | 6.67% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.00 | 0.87 | +0.13 |
| SD | 0.85 | 0.99 | 1.46 |
| CV | 0.85 | 1.14 | — |
| Max | 3 | 3 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 15
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.67% | 6.67% | 6.67% | 6.67% | — | — | 26.67% |
| 1 | 13.33% | 6.67% | — | 6.67% | — | — | 26.67% |
| 2 | 6.67% | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | 26.67% |
| 3 | — | 13.33% | — | — | — | — | 13.33% |
| 4 | — | 6.67% | — | — | — | — | 6.67% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 26.67% | 33.33% | 26.67% | 13.33% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.47 | 1.27 | +0.20 |
| SD | 1.25 | 1.03 | 1.70 |
| CV | 0.85 | 0.82 | — |
| Max | 4 | 3 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 15
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 26.67% | 13.33% | 6.67% | — | — | — | 46.67% |
| 1 | 13.33% | — | 6.67% | 6.67% | — | 6.67% | 33.33% |
| 2 | 13.33% | — | — | — | — | — | 13.33% |
| 3 | — | 6.67% | — | — | — | — | 6.67% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 53.33% | 20.00% | 13.33% | 6.67% | — | 6.67% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 0.80 | 1.00 | -0.20 |
| SD | 0.94 | 1.46 | 1.70 |
| CV | 1.18 | 1.46 | — |
| Max | 3 | 5 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 15
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.33% | 26.67% | — | — | — | — | 40.00% |
| 1 | 20.00% | 6.67% | — | 6.67% | 6.67% | — | 40.00% |
| 2 | 6.67% | 6.67% | — | — | — | — | 13.33% |
| 3 | 6.67% | — | — | — | — | — | 6.67% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 46.67% | 40.00% | — | 6.67% | 6.67% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 0.87 | 0.87 | +0.00 |
| SD | 0.92 | 1.19 | 1.56 |
| CV | 1.06 | 1.37 | — |
| Max | 3 | 4 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 15
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 26.67% | 33.33% | 6.67% | — | — | — | 66.67% |
| 1 | 6.67% | — | — | — | — | — | 6.67% |
| 2 | — | 6.67% | — | — | — | — | 6.67% |
| 3 | 6.67% | 13.33% | — | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 40.00% | 53.33% | 6.67% | — | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 0.80 | 0.67 | +0.13 |
| SD | 1.26 | 0.62 | 1.41 |
| CV | 1.58 | 0.93 | — |
| Max | 3 | 2 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 15
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.67% | 26.67% | 6.67% | — | — | — | 40.00% |
| 1 | 13.33% | 6.67% | 6.67% | 6.67% | — | — | 33.33% |
| 2 | — | 6.67% | 6.67% | — | — | — | 13.33% |
| 3 | — | 6.67% | 6.67% | — | — | — | 13.33% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 20.00% | 46.67% | 26.67% | 6.67% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.00 | 1.20 | -0.20 |
| SD | 1.07 | 0.86 | 1.21 |
| CV | 1.07 | 0.72 | — |
| Max | 3 | 3 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 15
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 1 | 33.33% | 6.67% | — | — | — | — | 40.00% |
| 2 | 20.00% | — | 6.67% | 6.67% | — | — | 33.33% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | 6.67% | — | — | — | — | — | 6.67% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 60.00% | 26.67% | 6.67% | 6.67% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.33 | 0.60 | +0.73 |
| SD | 1.05 | 0.91 | 1.44 |
| CV | 0.78 | 1.52 | — |
| Max | 4 | 3 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -1 |
Games Played: 15
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.33% | 6.67% | 6.67% | — | — | — | 26.67% |
| 1 | 13.33% | 6.67% | 13.33% | 6.67% | — | — | 40.00% |
| 2 | — | 6.67% | — | — | — | — | 6.67% |
| 3 | 6.67% | 6.67% | — | 6.67% | — | — | 20.00% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | 6.67% | — | — | — | — | — | 6.67% |
| Total | 40.00% | 26.67% | 20.00% | 13.33% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.47 | 1.07 | +0.40 |
| SD | 1.46 | 1.10 | 1.88 |
| CV | 0.99 | 1.03 | — |
| Max | 5 | 3 | +5 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 15
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.67% | 20.00% | 6.67% | 6.67% | — | — | 40.00% |
| 1 | 20.00% | 6.67% | — | 13.33% | — | — | 40.00% |
| 2 | 6.67% | 13.33% | — | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 33.33% | 40.00% | 6.67% | 20.00% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 0.80 | 1.13 | -0.33 |
| SD | 0.77 | 1.13 | 1.50 |
| CV | 0.97 | 0.99 | — |
| Max | 2 | 3 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 15
Season Summary
Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).
| Team | Elo | Points | Avg | Luck | Percentile | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dynamo Moscow | 1937 | 16 | 19.72 | -3.72 | 10.0% | 12 | 16 | 18 | 19 | 22 | 24 | 26 |
| Dynamo Kyiv | 1873 | 18 | 16.73 | +1.27 | 78.0% | 10 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 18 | 21 | 25 |
| Shakhtyor Donetsk | 1861 | 14 | 18.87 | -4.87 | 3.0% | 12 | 15 | 17 | 19 | 21 | 23 | 28 |
| Torpedo Moscow | 1826 | 20 | 15.74 | +4.26 | 96.0% | 9 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 18 | 20 | 22 |
| Dinamo Tbilisi | 1818 | 17 | 16.62 | +0.38 | 64.0% | 9 | 12 | 15 | 16 | 18 | 22 | 24 |
| Karpati Lvov | 1806 | 17 | 16.47 | +0.53 | 66.0% | 8 | 11 | 15 | 17 | 18 | 20 | 22 |
| Ararat | 1804 | 14 | 16.76 | -2.76 | 20.0% | 10 | 11 | 15 | 17 | 19 | 22 | 23 |
| CSKA Moscow | 1756 | 15 | 15.31 | -0.31 | 51.0% | 10 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 20 | 24 |
| Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | 1745 | 14 | 15.51 | -1.51 | 34.0% | 9 | 10 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 20 | 21 |
| Zenit Leningrad | 1736 | 16 | 13.13 | +2.87 | 89.0% | 7 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 20 |
| Chernomorets Odesa | 1729 | 15 | 13.82 | +1.18 | 74.0% | 7 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 18 | 20 |
| Spartak Moscow | 1702 | 13 | 13.03 | -0.03 | 59.0% | 7 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 19 |
| Lokomotiv Moscow | 1693 | 15 | 13.55 | +1.45 | 74.0% | 6 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 16 | 19 | 22 |
| Zorya Voroshilovgrad | 1646 | 14 | 12.77 | +1.23 | 73.0% | 7 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 18 |
| Krylia Sovetov | 1616 | 14 | 9.85 | +4.15 | 94.0% | 3 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 16 |
| Dinamo Minsk | 1600 | 8 | 12.12 | -4.12 | 9.0% | 7 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 20 |
Point Totals in Context
How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).
Home-Field Advantage Edge
The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.
Season Trends
How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.
Edges & Scoring
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Home Edge
- Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.No Edge: under 16.5% * Slight Edge: 16.5% to 25% * Clear Edge: 25% to 33% * Strong Edge: 33% and up.
- Elo Value
- Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
- Scoring Tilt
- Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Title Race
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Title-Race Openness
- Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
- Champion Preseason Odds
- Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 8th * Longshot: 9th or lower.
- Title Margin
- Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.12 * Comfortable: 0.12 to 0.17 * Runaway: 0.17 and up.
Simulation-Based Surprises
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Luck Spread
- Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.As Expected: under 2.24 * Some Luck: 2.24 to 3.35 * Lucky: 3.35 to 4.47 * Wild Swing: 4.47 and up.
- Average Finish Error
- Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.Pinpoint: under 2.35 * Close: 2.35 to 3.52 * Off: 3.52 to 4.69 * Way Off: 4.69 and up.
- Biggest Overachiever
- The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 16 typically lands.
- Biggest Underachiever
- The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 16 typically lands.
- Season Outliers
- Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.Minimal Outliers: under 16 * As Expected: 16 to 25.6 * Several Outliers: 25.6 to 35.2 * Many Outliers: 35.2 and up.
Parity
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Gini Index
- How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.14 * Top-Heavy: 0.14 to 0.17 * Lopsided: 0.17 and up.
- Noll-Scully
- Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 1.8 * Wide Separation: 1.8 and up.
- Interquartile Edge
- Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 67.5% * Clear Edge: 67.5% to 71% * Wide Edge: 71% and up.
- Best vs. Worst
- Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.Even: under 85.5% * Clear Edge: 85.5% to 89% * Strong Edge: 89% to 92.5% * Dominant: 92.5% and up.
- Close Games
- Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.Few: under 57.5% * Some Drama: 57.5% to 65.5% * Frequent: 65.5% to 69.5% * Very Frequent: 69.5% and up.
- Blowouts
- Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.Rare: under 11.5% * Occasional: 11.5% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 20% * Very Frequent: 20% and up.
Predictability
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Brier Score
- How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
- Matchup Imbalance
- How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.Very Even: under 0.42 * Slight Separation: 0.42 to 0.48 * Notable Separation: 0.48 to 0.54 * Lopsided: 0.54 and up.
- Strangeness
- How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
- Repeatability
- How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.Weak Carryover: under 0.48 * Some Carryover: 0.48 to 0.58 * Strong Carryover: 0.58 to 0.65 * Near-Lock: 0.65 and up.
- Upset Rate
- Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21% * Upset-Prone: 21% to 23.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 23.5% and up.
- Clear Favorite Upset Rate
- Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Calibration
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Probability calibration
- An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
- Calibration slope
- Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
- Calibration error (ECE)
- The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.
Final Table Odds
Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torpedo Moscow | 5.00% | 11.00% | 12.00% | 2.00% | 9.00% | 8.00% | 3.00% | 8.00% | 10.00% | 11.00% | 8.00% | 3.00% | 3.00% | 2.00% | 5.00% | — |
| Dynamo Kyiv | 9.00% | 9.00% | 8.00% | 6.00% | 16.00% | 10.00% | 12.00% | 10.00% | 6.00% | 3.00% | 3.00% | 4.00% | 2.00% | 1.00% | — | 1.00% |
| Karpati Lvov | 4.00% | 7.00% | 13.00% | 15.00% | 11.00% | 10.00% | 11.00% | 11.00% | 3.00% | 2.00% | 4.00% | 3.00% | 1.00% | — | 3.00% | 2.00% |
| Dinamo Tbilisi | 9.00% | 10.00% | 7.00% | 10.00% | 8.00% | 12.00% | 10.00% | 4.00% | 10.00% | 5.00% | 8.00% | 3.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 2.00% | — |
| Dynamo Moscow | 38.00% | 19.00% | 9.00% | 12.00% | 8.00% | 5.00% | 4.00% | — | 2.00% | 2.00% | — | — | 1.00% | — | — | — |
| Zenit Leningrad | — | 2.00% | 1.00% | 2.00% | 5.00% | 6.00% | 5.00% | 5.00% | 8.00% | 9.00% | 12.00% | 6.00% | 12.00% | 11.00% | 9.00% | 7.00% |
| Lokomotiv Moscow | 1.00% | 2.00% | 4.00% | 3.00% | 3.00% | 6.00% | 6.00% | 4.00% | 7.00% | 7.00% | 10.00% | 9.00% | 15.00% | 11.00% | 7.00% | 5.00% |
| CSKA Moscow | 6.00% | 1.00% | 5.00% | 9.00% | 8.00% | 11.00% | 10.00% | 5.00% | 11.00% | 6.00% | 9.00% | 6.00% | 4.00% | 4.00% | 3.00% | 2.00% |
| Chernomorets Odesa | — | 1.00% | 2.00% | 5.00% | 12.00% | 1.00% | 4.00% | 4.00% | 5.00% | 9.00% | 10.00% | 16.00% | 7.00% | 8.00% | 9.00% | 7.00% |
| Zorya Voroshilovgrad | — | — | — | 1.00% | 2.00% | 4.00% | 4.00% | 9.00% | 8.00% | 7.00% | 5.00% | 13.00% | 14.00% | 12.00% | 12.00% | 9.00% |
| Shakhtyor Donetsk | 21.00% | 23.00% | 15.00% | 10.00% | 5.00% | 7.00% | 6.00% | 7.00% | 3.00% | — | 1.00% | — | 1.00% | 1.00% | — | — |
| Ararat | 4.00% | 10.00% | 15.00% | 10.00% | 5.00% | 4.00% | 13.00% | 9.00% | 4.00% | 8.00% | 4.00% | 6.00% | 1.00% | 3.00% | 3.00% | 1.00% |
| Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | 3.00% | 4.00% | 7.00% | 10.00% | 5.00% | 9.00% | 7.00% | 9.00% | 8.00% | 8.00% | 6.00% | 3.00% | 7.00% | 7.00% | 5.00% | 2.00% |
| Krylia Sovetov | — | — | — | — | — | 1.00% | 1.00% | — | 4.00% | 6.00% | 5.00% | 9.00% | 8.00% | 12.00% | 7.00% | 47.00% |
| Spartak Moscow | — | — | 1.00% | 4.00% | 2.00% | 5.00% | 4.00% | 6.00% | 7.00% | 9.00% | 8.00% | 9.00% | 13.00% | 16.00% | 13.00% | 3.00% |
| Dinamo Minsk | — | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | — | 9.00% | 4.00% | 8.00% | 7.00% | 10.00% | 10.00% | 11.00% | 22.00% | 14.00% |
Points Required Per Position
The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.
Next-Season Status
Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.
| Team | Same level | Direct relegation |
|---|---|---|
| Dynamo Moscow | 100% | — |
| Shakhtyor Donetsk | 100% | — |
| Dynamo Kyiv | 99.00% | 1.00% |
| Dinamo Tbilisi | 98.00% | 2.00% |
| Ararat | 96.00% | 4.00% |
| CSKA Moscow | 95.00% | 5.00% |
| Karpati Lvov | 95.00% | 5.00% |
| Torpedo Moscow | 95.00% | 5.00% |
| Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | 93.00% | 7.00% |
| Lokomotiv Moscow | 88.00% | 12.00% |
| Chernomorets Odesa | 84.00% | 16.00% |
| Spartak Moscow | 84.00% | 16.00% |
| Zenit Leningrad | 84.00% | 16.00% |
| Zorya Voroshilovgrad | 79.00% | 21.00% |
| Dinamo Minsk | 64.00% | 36.00% |
| Krylia Sovetov | 46.00% | 54.00% |
Overall Game Log
Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Excitement | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Proj. Margin | Elo Δ | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1976-08-13 | Zenit Leningrad | W 2-0 | 51.1 | 1585 | 1687 | 51.78% | 25.53% | 22.69% | +0.13 | +7.7 | 2 |
| 1976-08-13 | @ Krylia Sovetov | L 0-2 | 51.1 | 1687 | 1585 | 22.69% | 25.53% | 51.78% | -0.13 | -7.7 | 0 |
| 1976-08-14 | Karpati Lvov | D 2-2 | 81.3 | 1839 | 1820 | 63.24% | 24.12% | 12.65% | +0.52 | -1.4 | 1 |
| 1976-08-14 | @ Ararat | D 2-2 | 81.3 | 1820 | 1839 | 12.65% | 24.12% | 63.24% | -0.52 | +1.4 | 1 |
| 1976-08-14 | Torpedo Moscow | L 0-2 | 64.0 | 1760 | 1780 | 59.90% | 24.75% | 15.34% | +0.39 | -17.1 | 0 |
| 1976-08-14 | @ CSKA Moscow | W 2-0 | 64.0 | 1780 | 1760 | 15.34% | 24.75% | 59.90% | -0.39 | +17.1 | 2 |
| 1976-08-14 | Lokomotiv Moscow | L 0-1 | 66.0 | 1635 | 1680 | 57.54% | 25.08% | 17.38% | +0.31 | -8.7 | 0 |
| 1976-08-14 | @ Dinamo Minsk | W 1-0 | 66.0 | 1680 | 1635 | 17.38% | 25.08% | 57.54% | -0.31 | +8.7 | 2 |
| 1976-08-14 | Chernomorets Odesa | W 1-0 | 55.7 | 1644 | 1728 | 53.70% | 25.43% | 20.88% | +0.19 | +3.8 | 2 |
| 1976-08-14 | @ Zorya Voroshilovgrad | L 0-1 | 55.7 | 1728 | 1644 | 20.88% | 25.43% | 53.70% | -0.19 | -3.8 | 0 |
| 1976-08-17 | Zenit Leningrad | L 1-2 | 74.6 | 1699 | 1679 | 63.29% | 24.10% | 12.61% | +0.52 | -9.0 | 0 |
| 1976-08-17 | @ Spartak Moscow | W 2-1 | 74.6 | 1679 | 1699 | 12.61% | 24.10% | 63.29% | -0.52 | +9.0 | 2 |
| 1976-08-18 | Krylia Sovetov | D 0-0 | 70.6 | 1838 | 1592 | 77.29% | 18.40% | 4.31% | +1.24 | -3.0 | 2 |
| 1976-08-18 | @ Ararat | D 0-0 | 70.6 | 1592 | 1838 | 4.31% | 18.40% | 77.29% | -1.24 | +3.0 | 3 |
| 1976-08-18 | Dinamo Tbilisi | W 2-1 | 63.1 | 1725 | 1813 | 53.26% | 25.46% | 21.28% | +0.18 | +3.7 | 2 |
| 1976-08-18 | @ Chernomorets Odesa | L 1-2 | 63.1 | 1813 | 1725 | 21.28% | 25.46% | 53.26% | -0.18 | -3.7 | 0 |
| 1976-08-18 | Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | L 1-3 | 72.2 | 1868 | 1769 | 68.93% | 22.44% | 8.63% | +0.77 | -16.8 | 0 |
| 1976-08-18 | @ Dynamo Kyiv | W 3-1 | 72.2 | 1769 | 1868 | 8.63% | 22.44% | 68.93% | -0.77 | +16.8 | 2 |
| 1976-08-18 | Dinamo Minsk | D 2-2 | 82.1 | 1821 | 1626 | 74.66% | 19.87% | 5.47% | +1.08 | -1.9 | 2 |
| 1976-08-18 | @ Karpati Lvov | D 2-2 | 82.1 | 1626 | 1821 | 5.47% | 19.87% | 74.66% | -1.08 | +1.9 | 1 |
| 1976-08-18 | Zorya Voroshilovgrad | D 0-0 | 70.8 | 1874 | 1648 | 76.30% | 18.97% | 4.73% | +1.18 | -3.0 | 1 |
| 1976-08-18 | @ Shakhtyor Donetsk | D 0-0 | 70.8 | 1648 | 1874 | 4.73% | 18.97% | 76.30% | -1.18 | +2.9 | 3 |
| 1976-08-21 | Spartak Moscow | L 1-3 | 69.7 | 1689 | 1690 | 61.55% | 24.47% | 13.98% | +0.45 | -15.2 | 2 |
| 1976-08-21 | @ Lokomotiv Moscow | W 3-1 | 69.7 | 1690 | 1689 | 13.98% | 24.47% | 61.55% | -0.45 | +15.2 | 2 |
| 1976-08-22 | Ararat | D 1-1 | 75.1 | 1809 | 1835 | 59.40% | 24.83% | 15.77% | +0.37 | -1.5 | 1 |
| 1976-08-22 | @ Dinamo Tbilisi | D 1-1 | 75.1 | 1835 | 1809 | 15.77% | 24.83% | 59.40% | -0.37 | +1.5 | 3 |
| 1976-08-22 | Dinamo Minsk | W 2-0 | 44.3 | 1968 | 1628 | 81.68% | 15.57% | 2.75% | +1.54 | +0.9 | 2 |
| 1976-08-22 | @ Dynamo Moscow | L 0-2 | 44.3 | 1628 | 1968 | 2.75% | 15.57% | 81.68% | -1.54 | -0.9 | 1 |
| 1976-08-22 | Shakhtyor Donetsk | L 0-3 | 60.8 | 1786 | 1871 | 53.56% | 25.44% | 21.00% | +0.19 | -22.3 | 2 |
| 1976-08-22 | @ Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | W 3-0 | 60.8 | 1871 | 1786 | 21.00% | 25.44% | 53.56% | -0.19 | +22.3 | 3 |
| 1976-08-26 | Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | W 1-0 | 53.1 | 1808 | 1764 | 65.10% | 23.66% | 11.24% | +0.60 | +2.2 | 3 |
| 1976-08-26 | @ Dinamo Tbilisi | L 0-1 | 53.1 | 1764 | 1808 | 11.24% | 23.66% | 65.10% | -0.60 | -2.2 | 2 |
| 1976-08-26 | Lokomotiv Moscow | W 1-0 | 52.8 | 1688 | 1674 | 62.76% | 24.22% | 13.02% | +0.50 | +2.5 | 4 |
| 1976-08-26 | @ Zenit Leningrad | L 0-1 | 52.8 | 1674 | 1688 | 13.02% | 24.22% | 62.76% | -0.50 | -2.5 | 2 |
| 1976-08-26 | Shakhtyor Donetsk | D 0-0 | 69.1 | 1595 | 1894 | 26.87% | 24.28% | 48.86% | -0.49 | +0.8 | 4 |
| 1976-08-26 | @ Krylia Sovetov | D 0-0 | 69.1 | 1894 | 1595 | 48.86% | 24.28% | 26.87% | +0.49 | -0.8 | 4 |
| 1976-08-26 | Ararat | W 1-0 | 60.0 | 1651 | 1837 | 41.47% | 25.54% | 32.99% | -0.13 | +5.5 | 5 |
| 1976-08-26 | @ Zorya Voroshilovgrad | L 0-1 | 60.0 | 1837 | 1651 | 32.99% | 25.54% | 41.47% | +0.13 | -5.5 | 3 |
| 1976-08-27 | Torpedo Moscow | L 0-1 | 62.8 | 1627 | 1797 | 43.48% | 25.60% | 30.92% | -0.08 | -6.8 | 1 |
| 1976-08-27 | @ Dinamo Minsk | W 1-0 | 62.8 | 1797 | 1627 | 30.92% | 25.60% | 43.48% | +0.08 | +6.8 | 4 |
| 1976-08-27 | Karpati Lvov | L 0-1 | 66.1 | 1728 | 1819 | 52.98% | 25.47% | 21.55% | +0.17 | -8.1 | 2 |
| 1976-08-27 | @ Chernomorets Odesa | W 1-0 | 66.1 | 1819 | 1728 | 21.55% | 25.47% | 52.98% | -0.17 | +8.1 | 4 |
| 1976-08-29 | Dynamo Moscow | W 2-1 | 68.6 | 1743 | 1969 | 35.94% | 25.24% | 38.81% | -0.26 | +5.8 | 2 |
| 1976-08-29 | @ CSKA Moscow | L 1-2 | 68.6 | 1969 | 1743 | 38.81% | 25.24% | 35.94% | +0.26 | -5.8 | 2 |
| 1976-08-31 | Dynamo Kyiv | W 2-1 | 66.4 | 1671 | 1851 | 42.23% | 25.56% | 32.21% | -0.11 | +5.1 | 4 |
| 1976-08-31 | @ Lokomotiv Moscow | L 1-2 | 66.4 | 1851 | 1671 | 32.21% | 25.56% | 42.23% | +0.11 | -5.1 | 0 |
| 1976-08-31 | Dinamo Minsk | D 0-0 | 68.2 | 1690 | 1620 | 66.99% | 23.10% | 9.91% | +0.68 | -2.3 | 5 |
| 1976-08-31 | @ Zenit Leningrad | D 0-0 | 68.2 | 1620 | 1690 | 9.91% | 23.10% | 66.99% | -0.68 | +2.3 | 2 |
| 1976-09-01 | Dynamo Moscow | D 1-1 | 74.9 | 1804 | 1963 | 44.96% | 25.63% | 29.42% | -0.05 | -0.5 | 5 |
| 1976-09-01 | @ Torpedo Moscow | D 1-1 | 74.9 | 1963 | 1804 | 29.42% | 25.63% | 44.96% | +0.05 | +0.5 | 3 |
| 1976-09-02 | Spartak Moscow | L 1-2 | 75.4 | 1749 | 1705 | 65.05% | 23.67% | 11.28% | +0.59 | -9.2 | 2 |
| 1976-09-02 | @ CSKA Moscow | W 2-1 | 75.4 | 1705 | 1749 | 11.28% | 23.67% | 65.05% | -0.59 | +9.2 | 4 |
| 1976-09-03 | Chernomorets Odesa | W 1-0 | 51.4 | 1846 | 1720 | 70.65% | 21.76% | 7.59% | +0.86 | +1.5 | 2 |
| 1976-09-03 | @ Dynamo Kyiv | L 0-1 | 51.4 | 1720 | 1846 | 7.59% | 21.76% | 70.65% | -0.86 | -1.5 | 2 |
| 1976-09-04 | Krylia Sovetov | D 0-0 | 66.5 | 1622 | 1596 | 63.75% | 24.00% | 12.25% | +0.54 | -2.1 | 3 |
| 1976-09-04 | @ Dinamo Minsk | D 0-0 | 66.5 | 1596 | 1622 | 12.25% | 24.00% | 63.75% | -0.54 | +2.1 | 5 |
| 1976-09-04 | Zorya Voroshilovgrad | W 3-1 | 54.4 | 1688 | 1657 | 64.15% | 23.90% | 11.95% | +0.56 | +3.8 | 7 |
| 1976-09-04 | @ Zenit Leningrad | L 1-3 | 54.4 | 1657 | 1688 | 11.95% | 23.90% | 64.15% | -0.56 | -3.8 | 5 |
| 1976-09-05 | Karpati Lvov | W 2-0 | 50.9 | 1803 | 1827 | 59.58% | 24.80% | 15.61% | +0.38 | +5.6 | 7 |
| 1976-09-05 | @ Torpedo Moscow | L 0-2 | 50.9 | 1827 | 1803 | 15.61% | 24.80% | 59.58% | -0.38 | -5.6 | 4 |
| 1976-09-06 | Shakhtyor Donetsk | W 1-0 | 59.1 | 1739 | 1893 | 45.65% | 25.63% | 28.72% | -0.03 | +4.9 | 4 |
| 1976-09-06 | @ CSKA Moscow | L 0-1 | 59.1 | 1893 | 1739 | 28.72% | 25.63% | 45.65% | +0.03 | -4.9 | 4 |
| 1976-09-07 | Dynamo Kyiv | W 1-0 | 51.9 | 1963 | 1848 | 70.00% | 22.03% | 7.97% | +0.82 | +1.5 | 5 |
| 1976-09-07 | @ Dynamo Moscow | L 0-1 | 51.9 | 1848 | 1963 | 7.97% | 22.03% | 70.00% | -0.82 | -1.6 | 2 |
| 1976-09-07 | Lokomotiv Moscow | D 0-0 | 69.9 | 1810 | 1677 | 71.09% | 21.57% | 7.33% | +0.88 | -2.6 | 4 |
| 1976-09-07 | @ Dinamo Tbilisi | D 0-0 | 69.9 | 1677 | 1810 | 7.33% | 21.57% | 71.09% | -0.88 | +2.6 | 5 |
| 1976-09-07 | Spartak Moscow | W 1-0 | 52.8 | 1761 | 1715 | 65.32% | 23.60% | 11.09% | +0.61 | +2.2 | 4 |
| 1976-09-07 | @ Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | L 0-1 | 52.8 | 1715 | 1761 | 11.09% | 23.60% | 65.32% | -0.61 | -2.2 | 4 |
| 1976-09-11 | Spartak Moscow | L 2-3 | 81.3 | 1831 | 1712 | 70.19% | 21.95% | 7.86% | +0.83 | -9.4 | 3 |
| 1976-09-11 | @ Ararat | W 3-2 | 81.3 | 1712 | 1831 | 7.86% | 21.95% | 70.19% | -0.83 | +9.4 | 6 |
| 1976-09-11 | Zorya Voroshilovgrad | W 1-0 | 48.6 | 1965 | 1653 | 80.45% | 16.40% | 3.14% | +1.45 | +0.5 | 7 |
| 1976-09-11 | @ Dynamo Moscow | L 0-1 | 48.6 | 1653 | 1965 | 3.14% | 16.40% | 80.45% | -1.45 | -0.5 | 5 |
| 1976-09-11 | Krylia Sovetov | W 3-1 | 51.9 | 1764 | 1598 | 72.98% | 20.71% | 6.30% | +0.98 | +2.0 | 6 |
| 1976-09-11 | @ Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | L 1-3 | 51.9 | 1598 | 1764 | 6.30% | 20.71% | 72.98% | -0.98 | -2.0 | 5 |
| 1976-09-11 | Dynamo Kyiv | D 1-1 | 74.6 | 1692 | 1846 | 45.53% | 25.63% | 28.84% | -0.03 | -0.5 | 8 |
| 1976-09-11 | @ Zenit Leningrad | D 1-1 | 74.6 | 1846 | 1692 | 28.84% | 25.63% | 45.53% | +0.03 | +0.5 | 3 |
| 1976-09-12 | Lokomotiv Moscow | W 4-1 | 49.9 | 1822 | 1679 | 71.64% | 21.33% | 7.02% | +0.91 | +3.1 | 6 |
| 1976-09-12 | @ Karpati Lvov | L 1-4 | 49.9 | 1679 | 1822 | 7.02% | 21.33% | 71.64% | -0.91 | -3.1 | 5 |
| 1976-09-12 | Chernomorets Odesa | W 4-0 | 46.5 | 1809 | 1719 | 68.36% | 22.64% | 9.00% | +0.74 | +6.3 | 9 |
| 1976-09-12 | @ Torpedo Moscow | L 0-4 | 46.5 | 1719 | 1809 | 9.00% | 22.64% | 68.36% | -0.74 | -6.3 | 2 |
| 1976-09-13 | CSKA Moscow | W 2-1 | 63.5 | 1620 | 1744 | 49.23% | 25.62% | 25.15% | +0.06 | +4.2 | 5 |
| 1976-09-13 | @ Dinamo Minsk | L 1-2 | 63.5 | 1744 | 1620 | 25.15% | 25.62% | 49.23% | -0.06 | -4.2 | 4 |
| 1976-09-19 | CSKA Moscow | D 1-1 | 75.8 | 1847 | 1740 | 69.42% | 22.25% | 8.33% | +0.80 | -2.2 | 4 |
| 1976-09-19 | @ Dynamo Kyiv | D 1-1 | 75.8 | 1740 | 1847 | 8.33% | 22.25% | 69.42% | -0.80 | +2.3 | 5 |
| 1976-09-19 | Ararat | L 1-2 | 68.4 | 1625 | 1822 | 39.89% | 25.47% | 34.64% | -0.17 | -5.9 | 5 |
| 1976-09-19 | @ Dinamo Minsk | W 2-1 | 68.4 | 1822 | 1625 | 34.64% | 25.47% | 39.89% | +0.17 | +6.0 | 5 |
| 1976-09-19 | Dinamo Tbilisi | L 1-2 | 67.5 | 1596 | 1807 | 38.01% | 25.37% | 36.61% | -0.21 | -5.7 | 5 |
| 1976-09-19 | @ Krylia Sovetov | W 2-1 | 67.5 | 1807 | 1596 | 36.61% | 25.37% | 38.01% | +0.21 | +5.7 | 6 |
| 1976-09-19 | Zenit Leningrad | W 3-1 | 52.3 | 1888 | 1691 | 74.74% | 19.83% | 5.43% | +1.08 | +1.7 | 6 |
| 1976-09-19 | @ Shakhtyor Donetsk | L 1-3 | 52.3 | 1691 | 1888 | 5.43% | 19.83% | 74.74% | -1.08 | -1.7 | 8 |
| 1976-09-19 | Karpati Lvov | L 0-1 | 65.8 | 1722 | 1825 | 51.65% | 25.54% | 22.81% | +0.13 | -7.9 | 6 |
| 1976-09-19 | @ Spartak Moscow | W 1-0 | 65.8 | 1825 | 1722 | 22.81% | 25.54% | 51.65% | -0.13 | +7.9 | 8 |
| 1976-09-19 | Torpedo Moscow | L 0-2 | 59.4 | 1652 | 1815 | 44.40% | 25.62% | 29.98% | -0.06 | -13.0 | 5 |
| 1976-09-19 | @ Zorya Voroshilovgrad | W 2-0 | 59.4 | 1815 | 1652 | 29.98% | 25.62% | 44.40% | +0.06 | +13.0 | 11 |
| 1976-09-20 | Dynamo Moscow | W 2-1 | 69.6 | 1712 | 1965 | 32.33% | 24.95% | 42.72% | -0.35 | +6.2 | 4 |
| 1976-09-20 | @ Chernomorets Odesa | L 1-2 | 69.6 | 1965 | 1712 | 42.72% | 24.95% | 32.33% | +0.35 | -6.3 | 7 |
| 1976-09-20 | Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | W 2-0 | 52.3 | 1676 | 1766 | 53.12% | 25.46% | 21.41% | +0.17 | +7.4 | 7 |
| 1976-09-20 | @ Lokomotiv Moscow | L 0-2 | 52.3 | 1766 | 1676 | 21.41% | 25.46% | 53.12% | -0.17 | -7.4 | 6 |
| 1976-09-22 | Dynamo Kyiv | D 0-0 | 69.7 | 1890 | 1844 | 65.19% | 23.63% | 11.18% | +0.60 | -2.2 | 7 |
| 1976-09-22 | @ Shakhtyor Donetsk | D 0-0 | 69.7 | 1844 | 1890 | 11.18% | 23.63% | 65.19% | -0.60 | +2.2 | 5 |
| 1976-09-25 | Ararat | W 3-2 | 65.0 | 1847 | 1828 | 63.18% | 24.13% | 12.69% | +0.52 | +2.2 | 7 |
| 1976-09-25 | @ Dynamo Kyiv | L 2-3 | 65.0 | 1828 | 1847 | 12.69% | 24.13% | 63.18% | -0.52 | -2.2 | 5 |
| 1976-09-25 | Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | W 2-0 | 53.7 | 1619 | 1758 | 47.36% | 25.64% | 27.00% | +0.01 | +8.9 | 7 |
| 1976-09-25 | @ Dinamo Minsk | L 0-2 | 53.7 | 1758 | 1619 | 27.00% | 25.64% | 47.36% | -0.01 | -8.9 | 6 |
| 1976-09-25 | Dynamo Moscow | L 0-1 | 67.0 | 1887 | 1959 | 54.99% | 25.33% | 19.68% | +0.23 | -8.3 | 7 |
| 1976-09-25 | @ Shakhtyor Donetsk | W 1-0 | 67.0 | 1959 | 1887 | 19.68% | 25.33% | 54.99% | -0.23 | +8.4 | 9 |
| 1976-09-25 | Dinamo Tbilisi | D 0-0 | 68.9 | 1714 | 1813 | 52.08% | 25.52% | 22.40% | +0.14 | -1.1 | 7 |
| 1976-09-25 | @ Spartak Moscow | D 0-0 | 68.9 | 1813 | 1714 | 22.40% | 25.52% | 52.08% | -0.14 | +1.1 | 7 |
| 1976-09-26 | Zenit Leningrad | W 2-1 | 59.4 | 1719 | 1690 | 63.98% | 23.94% | 12.08% | +0.55 | +2.2 | 6 |
| 1976-09-26 | @ Chernomorets Odesa | L 1-2 | 59.4 | 1690 | 1719 | 12.08% | 23.94% | 63.98% | -0.55 | -2.2 | 8 |
| 1976-09-26 | Karpati Lvov | W 3-1 | 64.1 | 1591 | 1833 | 33.77% | 25.08% | 41.16% | -0.31 | +10.5 | 7 |
| 1976-09-26 | @ Krylia Sovetov | L 1-3 | 64.1 | 1833 | 1591 | 41.16% | 25.08% | 33.77% | +0.31 | -10.5 | 8 |
| 1976-09-26 | Torpedo Moscow | L 0-1 | 64.2 | 1683 | 1828 | 46.71% | 25.64% | 27.66% | +0.00 | -7.2 | 7 |
| 1976-09-26 | @ Lokomotiv Moscow | W 1-0 | 64.2 | 1828 | 1683 | 27.66% | 25.64% | 46.71% | +0.00 | +7.2 | 13 |
| 1976-09-26 | CSKA Moscow | L 0-1 | 65.0 | 1639 | 1742 | 51.62% | 25.54% | 22.84% | +0.13 | -7.9 | 5 |
| 1976-09-26 | @ Zorya Voroshilovgrad | W 1-0 | 65.0 | 1742 | 1639 | 22.84% | 25.54% | 51.62% | -0.13 | +7.9 | 7 |
| 1976-10-02 | Krylia Sovetov | W 5-1 | 47.5 | 1750 | 1601 | 72.05% | 21.15% | 6.80% | +0.93 | +3.9 | 9 |
| 1976-10-02 | @ CSKA Moscow | L 1-5 | 47.5 | 1601 | 1750 | 6.80% | 21.15% | 72.05% | -0.93 | -3.9 | 7 |
| 1976-10-03 | Shakhtyor Donetsk | W 1-0 | 55.8 | 1825 | 1879 | 56.80% | 25.16% | 18.03% | +0.29 | +3.4 | 7 |
| 1976-10-03 | @ Ararat | L 0-1 | 55.8 | 1879 | 1825 | 18.03% | 25.16% | 56.80% | -0.29 | -3.4 | 7 |
| 1976-10-03 | Lokomotiv Moscow | W 1-0 | 48.9 | 1967 | 1676 | 79.50% | 17.03% | 3.47% | +1.38 | +0.6 | 11 |
| 1976-10-03 | @ Dynamo Moscow | L 0-1 | 48.9 | 1676 | 1967 | 3.47% | 17.03% | 79.50% | -1.38 | -0.6 | 7 |
| 1976-10-03 | Dynamo Kyiv | D 0-0 | 69.3 | 1814 | 1849 | 58.58% | 24.95% | 16.47% | +0.35 | -1.7 | 8 |
| 1976-10-03 | @ Dinamo Tbilisi | D 0-0 | 69.3 | 1849 | 1814 | 16.47% | 24.95% | 58.58% | -0.35 | +1.7 | 8 |
| 1976-10-03 | Chernomorets Odesa | L 1-2 | 75.2 | 1749 | 1721 | 63.92% | 23.96% | 12.13% | +0.55 | -9.1 | 6 |
| 1976-10-03 | @ Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | W 2-1 | 75.2 | 1721 | 1749 | 12.13% | 23.96% | 63.92% | -0.55 | +9.1 | 8 |
| 1976-10-03 | Zorya Voroshilovgrad | W 3-1 | 52.0 | 1822 | 1631 | 74.41% | 20.00% | 5.59% | +1.06 | +1.7 | 10 |
| 1976-10-03 | @ Karpati Lvov | L 1-3 | 52.0 | 1631 | 1822 | 5.59% | 20.00% | 74.41% | -1.06 | -1.7 | 5 |
| 1976-10-03 | Torpedo Moscow | W 1-0 | 58.6 | 1687 | 1836 | 46.30% | 25.64% | 28.07% | -0.01 | +4.9 | 10 |
| 1976-10-03 | @ Zenit Leningrad | L 0-1 | 58.6 | 1836 | 1687 | 28.07% | 25.64% | 46.30% | +0.01 | -4.8 | 13 |
| 1976-10-04 | Dinamo Minsk | D 1-1 | 74.4 | 1713 | 1628 | 68.02% | 22.76% | 9.22% | +0.73 | -2.2 | 8 |
| 1976-10-04 | @ Spartak Moscow | D 1-1 | 74.4 | 1628 | 1713 | 9.22% | 22.76% | 68.02% | -0.73 | +2.2 | 8 |
| 1976-10-07 | Dynamo Kyiv | D 1-1 | 74.6 | 1630 | 1850 | 36.61% | 25.29% | 38.10% | -0.24 | +0.0 | 6 |
| 1976-10-07 | @ Zorya Voroshilovgrad | D 1-1 | 74.6 | 1850 | 1630 | 38.10% | 25.29% | 36.61% | +0.24 | -0.0 | 9 |
| 1976-10-07 | Ararat | D 0-0 | 69.0 | 1740 | 1829 | 53.22% | 25.46% | 21.32% | +0.18 | -1.2 | 7 |
| 1976-10-07 | @ Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | D 0-0 | 69.0 | 1829 | 1740 | 21.32% | 25.46% | 53.22% | -0.18 | +1.2 | 8 |
| 1976-10-07 | Dinamo Tbilisi | W 3-1 | 56.1 | 1824 | 1812 | 62.57% | 24.26% | 13.17% | +0.49 | +4.2 | 12 |
| 1976-10-07 | @ Karpati Lvov | L 1-3 | 56.1 | 1812 | 1824 | 13.17% | 24.26% | 62.57% | -0.49 | -4.2 | 8 |
| 1976-10-07 | Krylia Sovetov | W 1-0 | 49.1 | 1831 | 1597 | 76.68% | 18.75% | 4.57% | +1.20 | +0.8 | 15 |
| 1976-10-07 | @ Torpedo Moscow | L 0-1 | 49.1 | 1597 | 1831 | 4.57% | 18.75% | 76.68% | -1.20 | -0.8 | 7 |
| 1976-10-07 | Chernomorets Odesa | W 4-0 | 47.8 | 1754 | 1730 | 63.59% | 24.04% | 12.37% | +0.53 | +8.6 | 11 |
| 1976-10-07 | @ CSKA Moscow | L 0-4 | 47.8 | 1730 | 1754 | 12.37% | 24.04% | 63.59% | -0.53 | -8.6 | 8 |
| 1976-10-08 | Dynamo Moscow | W 1-0 | 63.3 | 1711 | 1968 | 31.75% | 24.89% | 43.37% | -0.36 | +6.7 | 10 |
| 1976-10-08 | @ Spartak Moscow | L 0-1 | 63.3 | 1968 | 1711 | 43.37% | 24.89% | 31.75% | +0.36 | -6.7 | 11 |
| 1976-10-11 | Zorya Voroshilovgrad | W 3-0 | 44.4 | 1808 | 1630 | 73.74% | 20.34% | 5.92% | +1.02 | +3.1 | 10 |
| 1976-10-11 | @ Dinamo Tbilisi | L 0-3 | 44.4 | 1630 | 1808 | 5.92% | 20.34% | 73.74% | -1.02 | -3.1 | 6 |
| 1976-10-11 | CSKA Moscow | D 3-3 | 83.5 | 1692 | 1763 | 55.10% | 25.32% | 19.58% | +0.23 | -0.8 | 11 |
| 1976-10-11 | @ Zenit Leningrad | D 3-3 | 83.5 | 1763 | 1692 | 19.58% | 25.32% | 55.10% | -0.23 | +0.8 | 12 |
| 1976-10-11 | Ararat | W 3-0 | 53.2 | 1676 | 1830 | 45.52% | 25.63% | 28.85% | -0.03 | +13.5 | 9 |
| 1976-10-11 | @ Lokomotiv Moscow | L 0-3 | 53.2 | 1830 | 1676 | 28.85% | 25.63% | 45.52% | +0.03 | -13.6 | 8 |
| 1976-10-12 | Shakhtyor Donetsk | W 2-0 | 55.1 | 1721 | 1876 | 45.54% | 25.63% | 28.83% | -0.03 | +9.3 | 10 |
| 1976-10-12 | @ Chernomorets Odesa | L 0-2 | 55.1 | 1876 | 1721 | 28.83% | 25.63% | 45.54% | +0.03 | -9.3 | 7 |
| 1976-10-12 | Karpati Lvov | W 1-0 | 56.7 | 1739 | 1828 | 53.19% | 25.46% | 21.35% | +0.17 | +3.9 | 9 |
| 1976-10-12 | @ Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | L 0-1 | 56.7 | 1828 | 1739 | 21.35% | 25.46% | 53.19% | -0.17 | -3.9 | 12 |
| 1976-10-12 | Dynamo Moscow | W 1-0 | 66.6 | 1596 | 1961 | 20.17% | 22.94% | 56.89% | -0.70 | +8.4 | 9 |
| 1976-10-12 | @ Krylia Sovetov | L 0-1 | 66.6 | 1961 | 1596 | 56.89% | 22.94% | 20.17% | +0.70 | -8.4 | 11 |
| 1976-10-12 | Spartak Moscow | D 2-2 | 81.8 | 1832 | 1717 | 69.91% | 22.06% | 8.02% | +0.82 | -1.7 | 16 |
| 1976-10-12 | @ Torpedo Moscow | D 2-2 | 81.8 | 1717 | 1832 | 8.02% | 22.06% | 69.91% | -0.82 | +1.7 | 11 |
| 1976-10-15 | Dinamo Minsk | W 2-0 | 46.1 | 1811 | 1630 | 73.91% | 20.26% | 5.83% | +1.03 | +2.1 | 12 |
| 1976-10-15 | @ Dinamo Tbilisi | L 0-2 | 46.1 | 1630 | 1811 | 5.83% | 20.26% | 73.91% | -1.03 | -2.1 | 8 |
| 1976-10-16 | Chernomorets Odesa | W 2-0 | 48.2 | 1816 | 1731 | 68.05% | 22.75% | 9.20% | +0.73 | +3.4 | 10 |
| 1976-10-16 | @ Ararat | L 0-2 | 48.2 | 1731 | 1816 | 9.20% | 22.75% | 68.05% | -0.73 | -3.4 | 10 |
| 1976-10-16 | Torpedo Moscow | W 3-2 | 64.9 | 1850 | 1830 | 63.31% | 24.10% | 12.59% | +0.52 | +2.2 | 11 |
| 1976-10-16 | @ Dynamo Kyiv | L 2-3 | 64.9 | 1830 | 1850 | 12.59% | 24.10% | 63.31% | -0.52 | -2.2 | 16 |
| 1976-10-16 | Zenit Leningrad | W 2-1 | 55.9 | 1953 | 1691 | 78.08% | 17.92% | 4.00% | +1.29 | +0.7 | 13 |
| 1976-10-16 | @ Dynamo Moscow | L 1-2 | 55.9 | 1691 | 1953 | 4.00% | 17.92% | 78.08% | -1.29 | -0.7 | 11 |
| 1976-10-16 | Karpati Lvov | D 0-0 | 69.7 | 1866 | 1824 | 64.97% | 23.69% | 11.34% | +0.59 | -2.2 | 8 |
| 1976-10-16 | @ Shakhtyor Donetsk | D 0-0 | 69.7 | 1824 | 1866 | 11.34% | 23.69% | 64.97% | -0.59 | +2.2 | 13 |
| 1976-10-16 | Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | W 2-1 | 63.2 | 1627 | 1743 | 50.13% | 25.59% | 24.28% | +0.09 | +4.1 | 8 |
| 1976-10-16 | @ Zorya Voroshilovgrad | L 1-2 | 63.2 | 1743 | 1627 | 24.28% | 25.59% | 50.13% | -0.09 | -4.1 | 9 |
| 1976-10-17 | CSKA Moscow | W 1-0 | 55.9 | 1689 | 1764 | 54.71% | 25.36% | 19.93% | +0.22 | +3.7 | 11 |
| 1976-10-17 | @ Lokomotiv Moscow | L 0-1 | 55.9 | 1764 | 1689 | 19.93% | 25.36% | 54.71% | -0.22 | -3.7 | 12 |
| 1976-10-17 | Spartak Moscow | W 1-0 | 56.2 | 1605 | 1719 | 50.38% | 25.59% | 24.03% | +0.09 | +4.3 | 11 |
| 1976-10-17 | @ Krylia Sovetov | L 0-1 | 56.2 | 1719 | 1605 | 24.03% | 25.59% | 50.38% | -0.09 | -4.3 | 11 |
| 1976-10-22 | Chernomorets Odesa | L 0-1 | 67.8 | 1715 | 1727 | 60.56% | 24.65% | 14.80% | +0.42 | -9.2 | 11 |
| 1976-10-22 | @ Spartak Moscow | W 1-0 | 67.8 | 1727 | 1715 | 14.80% | 24.65% | 60.56% | -0.42 | +9.1 | 12 |
| 1976-10-23 | Dinamo Tbilisi | D 0-0 | 69.1 | 1760 | 1813 | 56.81% | 25.16% | 18.02% | +0.29 | -1.5 | 13 |
| 1976-10-23 | @ CSKA Moscow | D 0-0 | 69.1 | 1813 | 1760 | 18.02% | 25.16% | 56.81% | -0.29 | +1.5 | 13 |
| 1976-10-24 | Zorya Voroshilovgrad | L 1-2 | 72.7 | 1628 | 1631 | 61.37% | 24.50% | 14.13% | +0.45 | -8.7 | 8 |
| 1976-10-24 | @ Dinamo Minsk | W 2-1 | 72.7 | 1631 | 1628 | 14.13% | 24.50% | 61.37% | -0.45 | +8.7 | 10 |
| 1976-10-24 | Dynamo Kyiv | D 2-2 | 81.1 | 1826 | 1853 | 59.34% | 24.84% | 15.82% | +0.37 | -1.1 | 14 |
| 1976-10-24 | @ Karpati Lvov | D 2-2 | 81.1 | 1853 | 1826 | 15.82% | 24.84% | 59.34% | -0.37 | +1.2 | 12 |
| 1976-10-24 | Shakhtyor Donetsk | W 1-0 | 55.3 | 1828 | 1864 | 58.43% | 24.97% | 16.61% | +0.34 | +3.1 | 18 |
| 1976-10-24 | @ Torpedo Moscow | L 0-1 | 55.3 | 1864 | 1828 | 16.61% | 24.97% | 58.43% | -0.34 | -3.1 | 8 |
| 1976-10-24 | Ararat | W 5-0 | 53.2 | 1691 | 1820 | 48.62% | 25.63% | 25.75% | +0.05 | +20.0 | 13 |
| 1976-10-24 | @ Zenit Leningrad | L 0-5 | 53.2 | 1820 | 1691 | 25.75% | 25.63% | 48.62% | -0.05 | -20.0 | 10 |
| 1976-10-25 | Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | W 3-0 | 44.4 | 1954 | 1739 | 75.71% | 19.30% | 4.99% | +1.14 | +2.5 | 15 |
| 1976-10-25 | @ Dynamo Moscow | L 0-3 | 44.4 | 1739 | 1954 | 4.99% | 19.30% | 75.71% | -1.14 | -2.5 | 9 |
| 1976-10-26 | Krylia Sovetov | D 0-0 | 68.2 | 1693 | 1609 | 67.91% | 22.80% | 9.29% | +0.72 | -2.4 | 12 |
| 1976-10-26 | @ Lokomotiv Moscow | D 0-0 | 68.2 | 1609 | 1693 | 9.29% | 22.80% | 67.91% | -0.72 | +2.4 | 12 |
| 1976-10-27 | Dinamo Tbilisi | W 3-1 | 55.3 | 1861 | 1815 | 65.26% | 23.61% | 11.13% | +0.60 | +3.5 | 10 |
| 1976-10-27 | @ Shakhtyor Donetsk | L 1-3 | 55.3 | 1815 | 1861 | 11.13% | 23.61% | 65.26% | -0.60 | -3.6 | 13 |
| 1976-10-30 | CSKA Moscow | D 1-1 | 75.3 | 1800 | 1758 | 64.91% | 23.71% | 11.38% | +0.59 | -2.0 | 11 |
| 1976-10-30 | @ Ararat | D 1-1 | 75.3 | 1758 | 1800 | 11.38% | 23.71% | 64.91% | -0.59 | +1.9 | 14 |
| 1976-10-30 | Lokomotiv Moscow | D 1-1 | 74.8 | 1736 | 1690 | 65.25% | 23.61% | 11.13% | +0.60 | -2.0 | 13 |
| 1976-10-30 | @ Chernomorets Odesa | D 1-1 | 74.8 | 1690 | 1736 | 11.13% | 23.61% | 65.25% | -0.60 | +2.0 | 13 |
| 1976-10-30 | Krylia Sovetov | W 2-0 | 45.3 | 1854 | 1612 | 77.12% | 18.50% | 4.38% | +1.23 | +1.5 | 14 |
| 1976-10-30 | @ Dynamo Kyiv | L 0-2 | 45.3 | 1612 | 1854 | 4.38% | 18.50% | 77.12% | -1.23 | -1.5 | 12 |
| 1976-10-30 | Zenit Leningrad | W 1-0 | 51.8 | 1811 | 1711 | 69.04% | 22.40% | 8.57% | +0.78 | +1.7 | 15 |
| 1976-10-30 | @ Dinamo Tbilisi | L 0-1 | 51.8 | 1711 | 1811 | 8.57% | 22.40% | 69.04% | -0.78 | -1.7 | 13 |
| 1976-10-30 | Torpedo Moscow | W 1-0 | 56.9 | 1736 | 1831 | 52.58% | 25.50% | 21.92% | +0.16 | +4.0 | 11 |
| 1976-10-30 | @ Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | L 0-1 | 56.9 | 1831 | 1736 | 21.92% | 25.50% | 52.58% | -0.16 | -4.0 | 18 |
| 1976-10-30 | Dynamo Moscow | W 2-0 | 54.4 | 1825 | 1956 | 48.39% | 25.63% | 25.98% | +0.04 | +8.6 | 16 |
| 1976-10-30 | @ Karpati Lvov | L 0-2 | 54.4 | 1956 | 1825 | 25.98% | 25.63% | 48.39% | -0.04 | -8.6 | 15 |
| 1976-10-30 | Dinamo Minsk | W 2-1 | 55.7 | 1864 | 1619 | 77.30% | 18.39% | 4.31% | +1.24 | +0.7 | 12 |
| 1976-10-30 | @ Shakhtyor Donetsk | L 1-2 | 55.7 | 1619 | 1864 | 4.31% | 18.39% | 77.30% | -1.24 | -0.7 | 8 |
| 1976-10-30 | Spartak Moscow | W 2-0 | 50.9 | 1639 | 1706 | 55.56% | 25.28% | 19.16% | +0.25 | +6.7 | 12 |
| 1976-10-30 | @ Zorya Voroshilovgrad | L 0-2 | 50.9 | 1706 | 1639 | 19.16% | 25.28% | 55.56% | -0.25 | -6.7 | 11 |
| 1976-11-05 | Zorya Voroshilovgrad | W 1-0 | 51.9 | 1692 | 1646 | 65.27% | 23.61% | 11.12% | +0.60 | +2.2 | 15 |
| 1976-11-05 | @ Lokomotiv Moscow | L 0-1 | 51.9 | 1646 | 1692 | 11.12% | 23.61% | 65.27% | -0.60 | -2.2 | 12 |
| 1976-11-06 | Karpati Lvov | D 1-1 | 74.9 | 1760 | 1834 | 54.83% | 25.35% | 19.83% | +0.22 | -1.2 | 15 |
| 1976-11-06 | @ CSKA Moscow | D 1-1 | 74.9 | 1834 | 1760 | 19.83% | 25.35% | 54.83% | -0.22 | +1.2 | 17 |
| 1976-11-06 | Chernomorets Odesa | W 2-0 | 52.8 | 1610 | 1735 | 49.18% | 25.62% | 25.20% | +0.06 | +8.4 | 14 |
| 1976-11-06 | @ Krylia Sovetov | L 0-2 | 52.8 | 1735 | 1610 | 25.20% | 25.62% | 49.18% | -0.06 | -8.4 | 13 |
| 1976-11-06 | Dinamo Tbilisi | W 1-0 | 53.9 | 1827 | 1813 | 62.77% | 24.22% | 13.01% | +0.50 | +2.5 | 20 |
| 1976-11-06 | @ Torpedo Moscow | L 0-1 | 53.9 | 1813 | 1827 | 13.01% | 24.22% | 62.77% | -0.50 | -2.5 | 15 |
| 1976-11-06 | Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | D 0-0 | 68.8 | 1709 | 1740 | 58.91% | 24.90% | 16.19% | +0.36 | -1.7 | 14 |
| 1976-11-06 | @ Zenit Leningrad | D 0-0 | 68.8 | 1740 | 1709 | 16.19% | 24.90% | 58.91% | -0.36 | +1.7 | 12 |
| 1976-11-08 | Dynamo Kyiv | L 0-3 | 54.5 | 1618 | 1855 | 34.39% | 25.13% | 40.48% | -0.30 | -15.4 | 8 |
| 1976-11-08 | @ Dinamo Minsk | W 3-0 | 54.5 | 1855 | 1618 | 40.48% | 25.13% | 34.39% | +0.30 | +15.4 | 16 |
| 1976-11-08 | Shakhtyor Donetsk | W 1-0 | 59.4 | 1699 | 1865 | 43.98% | 25.61% | 30.41% | -0.07 | +5.2 | 13 |
| 1976-11-08 | @ Spartak Moscow | L 0-1 | 59.4 | 1865 | 1699 | 30.41% | 25.61% | 43.98% | +0.07 | -5.2 | 12 |
| 1976-11-09 | Ararat | D 0-0 | 70.5 | 1948 | 1798 | 72.07% | 21.14% | 6.79% | +0.93 | -2.7 | 16 |
| 1976-11-09 | @ Dynamo Moscow | D 0-0 | 70.5 | 1798 | 1948 | 6.79% | 21.14% | 72.07% | -0.93 | +2.7 | 12 |
| 1976-11-10 | CSKA Moscow | W 1-0 | 54.4 | 1742 | 1759 | 60.16% | 24.71% | 15.12% | +0.40 | +2.9 | 14 |
| 1976-11-10 | @ Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | L 0-1 | 54.4 | 1759 | 1742 | 15.12% | 24.71% | 60.16% | -0.40 | -2.9 | 15 |
| 1976-11-10 | Zenit Leningrad | L 0-3 | 64.7 | 1835 | 1707 | 70.74% | 21.72% | 7.54% | +0.86 | -28.8 | 17 |
| 1976-11-10 | @ Karpati Lvov | W 3-0 | 64.7 | 1707 | 1835 | 7.54% | 21.72% | 70.74% | -0.86 | +28.8 | 16 |
| 1976-11-10 | Krylia Sovetov | W 1-0 | 51.4 | 1644 | 1618 | 63.69% | 24.01% | 12.30% | +0.54 | +2.4 | 14 |
| 1976-11-10 | @ Zorya Voroshilovgrad | L 0-1 | 51.4 | 1618 | 1644 | 12.30% | 24.01% | 63.69% | -0.54 | -2.4 | 14 |
| 1976-11-12 | Dinamo Minsk | W 2-0 | 46.3 | 1726 | 1603 | 70.49% | 21.83% | 7.68% | +0.85 | +2.8 | 15 |
| 1976-11-12 | @ Chernomorets Odesa | L 0-2 | 46.3 | 1603 | 1726 | 7.68% | 21.83% | 70.49% | -0.85 | -2.8 | 8 |
| 1976-11-12 | Spartak Moscow | W 3-1 | 52.8 | 1871 | 1704 | 73.07% | 20.67% | 6.26% | +0.99 | +1.9 | 18 |
| 1976-11-12 | @ Dynamo Kyiv | L 1-3 | 52.8 | 1704 | 1871 | 6.26% | 20.67% | 73.07% | -0.99 | -2.0 | 13 |
| 1976-11-12 | Lokomotiv Moscow | W 1-0 | 50.7 | 1860 | 1695 | 73.00% | 20.71% | 6.29% | +0.98 | +1.2 | 14 |
| 1976-11-12 | @ Shakhtyor Donetsk | L 0-1 | 50.7 | 1695 | 1860 | 6.29% | 20.71% | 73.00% | -0.98 | -1.2 | 15 |
| 1976-11-13 | Torpedo Moscow | W 1-0 | 55.0 | 1801 | 1829 | 59.14% | 24.87% | 15.99% | +0.37 | +3.0 | 14 |
| 1976-11-13 | @ Ararat | L 0-1 | 55.0 | 1829 | 1801 | 15.99% | 24.87% | 59.14% | -0.37 | -3.0 | 20 |
| 1976-11-13 | Dynamo Moscow | W 3-1 | 60.5 | 1810 | 1945 | 48.00% | 25.63% | 26.37% | +0.03 | +7.5 | 17 |
| 1976-11-13 | @ Dinamo Tbilisi | L 1-3 | 60.5 | 1945 | 1810 | 26.37% | 25.63% | 48.00% | -0.03 | -7.5 | 16 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 1976-11-10 | 7.54% | Zenit Leningrad | 1707 | 3 | @ Karpati Lvov | 1835 | 0 |
| 2 | 1976-09-11 | 7.86% | Spartak Moscow | 1712 | 3 | @ Ararat | 1831 | 2 |
| 3 | 1976-08-18 | 8.63% | Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | 1769 | 3 | @ Dynamo Kyiv | 1868 | 1 |
| 4 | 1976-09-02 | 11.28% | Spartak Moscow | 1705 | 2 | @ CSKA Moscow | 1749 | 1 |
| 5 | 1976-10-03 | 12.13% | Chernomorets Odesa | 1721 | 2 | @ Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | 1749 | 1 |
| 6 | 1976-08-17 | 12.61% | Zenit Leningrad | 1679 | 2 | @ Spartak Moscow | 1699 | 1 |
| 7 | 1976-08-21 | 13.98% | Spartak Moscow | 1690 | 3 | @ Lokomotiv Moscow | 1689 | 1 |
| 8 | 1976-10-24 | 14.13% | Zorya Voroshilovgrad | 1631 | 2 | @ Dinamo Minsk | 1628 | 1 |
| 9 | 1976-10-22 | 14.80% | Chernomorets Odesa | 1727 | 1 | @ Spartak Moscow | 1715 | 0 |
| 10 | 1976-08-14 | 15.34% | Torpedo Moscow | 1780 | 2 | @ CSKA Moscow | 1760 | 0 |
| 11 | 1976-08-14 | 17.38% | Lokomotiv Moscow | 1680 | 1 | @ Dinamo Minsk | 1635 | 0 |
| 12 | 1976-09-25 | 19.68% | Dynamo Moscow | 1959 | 1 | @ Shakhtyor Donetsk | 1887 | 0 |
| 13 | 1976-10-12 | 20.17% | @ Krylia Sovetov | 1596 | 1 | Dynamo Moscow | 1961 | 0 |
| 14 | 1976-08-22 | 21.00% | Shakhtyor Donetsk | 1871 | 3 | @ Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | 1786 | 0 |
| 15 | 1976-08-27 | 21.55% | Karpati Lvov | 1819 | 1 | @ Chernomorets Odesa | 1728 | 0 |
| 16 | 1976-09-19 | 22.81% | Karpati Lvov | 1825 | 1 | @ Spartak Moscow | 1722 | 0 |
| 17 | 1976-09-26 | 22.84% | CSKA Moscow | 1742 | 1 | @ Zorya Voroshilovgrad | 1639 | 0 |
| 18 | 1976-09-26 | 27.66% | Torpedo Moscow | 1828 | 1 | @ Lokomotiv Moscow | 1683 | 0 |
| 19 | 1976-09-19 | 29.98% | Torpedo Moscow | 1815 | 2 | @ Zorya Voroshilovgrad | 1652 | 0 |
| 20 | 1976-08-27 | 30.92% | Torpedo Moscow | 1797 | 1 | @ Dinamo Minsk | 1627 | 0 |
| 21 | 1976-10-08 | 31.75% | @ Spartak Moscow | 1711 | 1 | Dynamo Moscow | 1968 | 0 |
| 22 | 1976-09-20 | 32.33% | @ Chernomorets Odesa | 1712 | 2 | Dynamo Moscow | 1965 | 1 |
| 23 | 1976-09-26 | 33.77% | @ Krylia Sovetov | 1591 | 3 | Karpati Lvov | 1833 | 1 |
| 24 | 1976-09-19 | 34.64% | Ararat | 1822 | 2 | @ Dinamo Minsk | 1625 | 1 |
| 25 | 1976-08-29 | 35.94% | @ CSKA Moscow | 1743 | 2 | Dynamo Moscow | 1969 | 1 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 1976-11-10 | 28.84 | Zenit Leningrad | 3 | 1707 | 7.54% | @ Karpati Lvov | 0 | 1835 | 70.74% | 21.72% |
| 2 | 1976-08-22 | 22.30 | Shakhtyor Donetsk | 3 | 1871 | 21.00% | @ Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | 0 | 1786 | 53.56% | 25.44% |
| 3 | 1976-10-24 | 19.99 | @ Zenit Leningrad | 5 | 1691 | 48.62% | Ararat | 0 | 1820 | 25.75% | 25.63% |
| 4 | 1976-08-14 | 17.07 | Torpedo Moscow | 2 | 1780 | 15.34% | @ CSKA Moscow | 0 | 1760 | 59.90% | 24.75% |
| 5 | 1976-08-18 | 16.83 | Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | 3 | 1769 | 8.63% | @ Dynamo Kyiv | 1 | 1868 | 68.93% | 22.44% |
| 6 | 1976-11-08 | 15.41 | Dynamo Kyiv | 3 | 1855 | 40.48% | @ Dinamo Minsk | 0 | 1618 | 34.39% | 25.13% |
| 7 | 1976-08-21 | 15.17 | Spartak Moscow | 3 | 1690 | 13.98% | @ Lokomotiv Moscow | 1 | 1689 | 61.55% | 24.47% |
| 8 | 1976-10-11 | 13.56 | @ Lokomotiv Moscow | 3 | 1676 | 45.52% | Ararat | 0 | 1830 | 28.85% | 25.63% |
| 9 | 1976-09-19 | 13.00 | Torpedo Moscow | 2 | 1815 | 29.98% | @ Zorya Voroshilovgrad | 0 | 1652 | 44.40% | 25.62% |
| 10 | 1976-09-26 | 10.52 | @ Krylia Sovetov | 3 | 1591 | 33.77% | Karpati Lvov | 1 | 1833 | 41.16% | 25.08% |
| 11 | 1976-09-11 | 9.36 | Spartak Moscow | 3 | 1712 | 7.86% | @ Ararat | 2 | 1831 | 70.19% | 21.95% |
| 12 | 1976-10-12 | 9.33 | @ Chernomorets Odesa | 2 | 1721 | 45.54% | Shakhtyor Donetsk | 0 | 1876 | 28.83% | 25.63% |
| 13 | 1976-09-02 | 9.23 | Spartak Moscow | 2 | 1705 | 11.28% | @ CSKA Moscow | 1 | 1749 | 65.05% | 23.67% |
| 14 | 1976-10-22 | 9.15 | Chernomorets Odesa | 1 | 1727 | 14.80% | @ Spartak Moscow | 0 | 1715 | 60.56% | 24.65% |
| 15 | 1976-10-03 | 9.08 | Chernomorets Odesa | 2 | 1721 | 12.13% | @ Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | 1 | 1749 | 63.92% | 23.96% |
| 16 | 1976-08-17 | 8.99 | Zenit Leningrad | 2 | 1679 | 12.61% | @ Spartak Moscow | 1 | 1699 | 63.29% | 24.10% |
| 17 | 1976-09-25 | 8.87 | @ Dinamo Minsk | 2 | 1619 | 47.36% | Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | 0 | 1758 | 27.00% | 25.64% |
| 18 | 1976-10-24 | 8.74 | Zorya Voroshilovgrad | 2 | 1631 | 14.13% | @ Dinamo Minsk | 1 | 1628 | 61.37% | 24.50% |
| 19 | 1976-08-14 | 8.71 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 1 | 1680 | 17.38% | @ Dinamo Minsk | 0 | 1635 | 57.54% | 25.08% |
| 20 | 1976-10-07 | 8.62 | @ CSKA Moscow | 4 | 1754 | 63.59% | Chernomorets Odesa | 0 | 1730 | 12.37% | 24.04% |
| 21 | 1976-10-30 | 8.60 | @ Karpati Lvov | 2 | 1825 | 48.39% | Dynamo Moscow | 0 | 1956 | 25.98% | 25.63% |
| 22 | 1976-10-12 | 8.43 | @ Krylia Sovetov | 1 | 1596 | 20.17% | Dynamo Moscow | 0 | 1961 | 56.89% | 22.94% |
| 23 | 1976-11-06 | 8.40 | @ Krylia Sovetov | 2 | 1610 | 49.18% | Chernomorets Odesa | 0 | 1735 | 25.20% | 25.62% |
| 24 | 1976-09-25 | 8.35 | Dynamo Moscow | 1 | 1959 | 19.68% | @ Shakhtyor Donetsk | 0 | 1887 | 54.99% | 25.33% |
| 25 | 1976-08-27 | 8.06 | Karpati Lvov | 1 | 1819 | 21.55% | @ Chernomorets Odesa | 0 | 1728 | 52.98% | 25.47% |
Most & Least Exciting Games
The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.
| # | Date | Excitement | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 1976-10-11 | 83.5 | @ Zenit Leningrad | 3 | 1692 | 55.10% | CSKA Moscow | 3 | 1763 | 19.58% | 25.32% |
| 2 | 1976-08-18 | 82.1 | @ Karpati Lvov | 2 | 1821 | 74.66% | Dinamo Minsk | 2 | 1626 | 5.47% | 19.87% |
| 3 | 1976-10-12 | 81.8 | @ Torpedo Moscow | 2 | 1832 | 69.91% | Spartak Moscow | 2 | 1717 | 8.02% | 22.06% |
| 4 | 1976-08-14 | 81.3 | @ Ararat | 2 | 1839 | 63.24% | Karpati Lvov | 2 | 1820 | 12.65% | 24.12% |
| 5 | 1976-09-11 | 81.3 | Spartak Moscow | 3 | 1712 | 7.86% | @ Ararat | 2 | 1831 | 70.19% | 21.95% |
| 6 | 1976-10-24 | 81.1 | @ Karpati Lvov | 2 | 1826 | 59.34% | Dynamo Kyiv | 2 | 1853 | 15.82% | 24.84% |
| 7 | 1976-09-19 | 75.8 | @ Dynamo Kyiv | 1 | 1847 | 69.42% | CSKA Moscow | 1 | 1740 | 8.33% | 22.25% |
| 8 | 1976-09-02 | 75.4 | Spartak Moscow | 2 | 1705 | 11.28% | @ CSKA Moscow | 1 | 1749 | 65.05% | 23.67% |
| 9 | 1976-10-30 | 75.3 | @ Ararat | 1 | 1800 | 64.91% | CSKA Moscow | 1 | 1758 | 11.38% | 23.71% |
| 10 | 1976-10-03 | 75.2 | Chernomorets Odesa | 2 | 1721 | 12.13% | @ Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | 1 | 1749 | 63.92% | 23.96% |
| 11 | 1976-08-22 | 75.1 | @ Dinamo Tbilisi | 1 | 1809 | 59.40% | Ararat | 1 | 1835 | 15.77% | 24.83% |
| 12 | 1976-09-01 | 74.9 | @ Torpedo Moscow | 1 | 1804 | 44.96% | Dynamo Moscow | 1 | 1963 | 29.42% | 25.63% |
| 13 | 1976-11-06 | 74.9 | @ CSKA Moscow | 1 | 1760 | 54.83% | Karpati Lvov | 1 | 1834 | 19.83% | 25.35% |
| 14 | 1976-10-30 | 74.8 | @ Chernomorets Odesa | 1 | 1736 | 65.25% | Lokomotiv Moscow | 1 | 1690 | 11.13% | 23.61% |
| 15 | 1976-08-17 | 74.6 | Zenit Leningrad | 2 | 1679 | 12.61% | @ Spartak Moscow | 1 | 1699 | 63.29% | 24.10% |
| 16 | 1976-09-11 | 74.6 | @ Zenit Leningrad | 1 | 1692 | 45.53% | Dynamo Kyiv | 1 | 1846 | 28.84% | 25.63% |
| 17 | 1976-10-07 | 74.6 | @ Zorya Voroshilovgrad | 1 | 1630 | 36.61% | Dynamo Kyiv | 1 | 1850 | 38.10% | 25.29% |
| 18 | 1976-10-04 | 74.4 | @ Spartak Moscow | 1 | 1713 | 68.02% | Dinamo Minsk | 1 | 1628 | 9.22% | 22.76% |
| 19 | 1976-10-24 | 72.7 | Zorya Voroshilovgrad | 2 | 1631 | 14.13% | @ Dinamo Minsk | 1 | 1628 | 61.37% | 24.50% |
| 20 | 1976-08-18 | 72.2 | Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | 3 | 1769 | 8.63% | @ Dynamo Kyiv | 1 | 1868 | 68.93% | 22.44% |
| 21 | 1976-08-18 | 70.8 | @ Shakhtyor Donetsk | 0 | 1874 | 76.30% | Zorya Voroshilovgrad | 0 | 1648 | 4.73% | 18.97% |
| 22 | 1976-08-18 | 70.6 | @ Ararat | 0 | 1838 | 77.29% | Krylia Sovetov | 0 | 1592 | 4.31% | 18.40% |
| 23 | 1976-11-09 | 70.5 | @ Dynamo Moscow | 0 | 1948 | 72.07% | Ararat | 0 | 1798 | 6.79% | 21.14% |
| 24 | 1976-09-07 | 69.9 | @ Dinamo Tbilisi | 0 | 1810 | 71.09% | Lokomotiv Moscow | 0 | 1677 | 7.33% | 21.57% |
| 25 | 1976-08-21 | 69.7 | Spartak Moscow | 3 | 1690 | 13.98% | @ Lokomotiv Moscow | 1 | 1689 | 61.55% | 24.47% |
| # | Date | Excitement | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 1976-08-22 | 44.3 | @ Dynamo Moscow | 2 | 1968 | 81.68% | Dinamo Minsk | 0 | 1628 | 2.75% | 15.57% |
| 2 | 1976-10-11 | 44.4 | @ Dinamo Tbilisi | 3 | 1808 | 73.74% | Zorya Voroshilovgrad | 0 | 1630 | 5.92% | 20.34% |
| 3 | 1976-10-25 | 44.4 | @ Dynamo Moscow | 3 | 1954 | 75.71% | Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | 0 | 1739 | 4.99% | 19.30% |
| 4 | 1976-10-30 | 45.3 | @ Dynamo Kyiv | 2 | 1854 | 77.12% | Krylia Sovetov | 0 | 1612 | 4.38% | 18.50% |
| 5 | 1976-10-15 | 46.1 | @ Dinamo Tbilisi | 2 | 1811 | 73.91% | Dinamo Minsk | 0 | 1630 | 5.83% | 20.26% |
| 6 | 1976-11-12 | 46.3 | @ Chernomorets Odesa | 2 | 1726 | 70.49% | Dinamo Minsk | 0 | 1603 | 7.68% | 21.83% |
| 7 | 1976-09-12 | 46.5 | @ Torpedo Moscow | 4 | 1809 | 68.36% | Chernomorets Odesa | 0 | 1719 | 9.00% | 22.64% |
| 8 | 1976-10-02 | 47.5 | @ CSKA Moscow | 5 | 1750 | 72.05% | Krylia Sovetov | 1 | 1601 | 6.80% | 21.15% |
| 9 | 1976-10-07 | 47.8 | @ CSKA Moscow | 4 | 1754 | 63.59% | Chernomorets Odesa | 0 | 1730 | 12.37% | 24.04% |
| 10 | 1976-10-16 | 48.2 | @ Ararat | 2 | 1816 | 68.05% | Chernomorets Odesa | 0 | 1731 | 9.20% | 22.75% |
| 11 | 1976-09-11 | 48.6 | @ Dynamo Moscow | 1 | 1965 | 80.45% | Zorya Voroshilovgrad | 0 | 1653 | 3.14% | 16.40% |
| 12 | 1976-10-03 | 48.9 | @ Dynamo Moscow | 1 | 1967 | 79.50% | Lokomotiv Moscow | 0 | 1676 | 3.47% | 17.03% |
| 13 | 1976-10-07 | 49.1 | @ Torpedo Moscow | 1 | 1831 | 76.68% | Krylia Sovetov | 0 | 1597 | 4.57% | 18.75% |
| 14 | 1976-09-12 | 49.9 | @ Karpati Lvov | 4 | 1822 | 71.64% | Lokomotiv Moscow | 1 | 1679 | 7.02% | 21.33% |
| 15 | 1976-11-12 | 50.7 | @ Shakhtyor Donetsk | 1 | 1860 | 73.00% | Lokomotiv Moscow | 0 | 1695 | 6.29% | 20.71% |
| 16 | 1976-09-05 | 50.9 | @ Torpedo Moscow | 2 | 1803 | 59.58% | Karpati Lvov | 0 | 1827 | 15.61% | 24.80% |
| 17 | 1976-10-30 | 50.9 | @ Zorya Voroshilovgrad | 2 | 1639 | 55.56% | Spartak Moscow | 0 | 1706 | 19.16% | 25.28% |
| 18 | 1976-08-13 | 51.1 | @ Krylia Sovetov | 2 | 1585 | 51.78% | Zenit Leningrad | 0 | 1687 | 22.69% | 25.53% |
| 19 | 1976-09-03 | 51.4 | @ Dynamo Kyiv | 1 | 1846 | 70.65% | Chernomorets Odesa | 0 | 1720 | 7.59% | 21.76% |
| 20 | 1976-11-10 | 51.4 | @ Zorya Voroshilovgrad | 1 | 1644 | 63.69% | Krylia Sovetov | 0 | 1618 | 12.30% | 24.01% |
| 21 | 1976-10-30 | 51.8 | @ Dinamo Tbilisi | 1 | 1811 | 69.04% | Zenit Leningrad | 0 | 1711 | 8.57% | 22.40% |
| 22 | 1976-09-07 | 51.9 | @ Dynamo Moscow | 1 | 1963 | 70.00% | Dynamo Kyiv | 0 | 1848 | 7.97% | 22.03% |
| 23 | 1976-09-11 | 51.9 | @ Dnepro Dnepropetrovsk | 3 | 1764 | 72.98% | Krylia Sovetov | 1 | 1598 | 6.30% | 20.71% |
| 24 | 1976-11-05 | 51.9 | @ Lokomotiv Moscow | 1 | 1692 | 65.27% | Zorya Voroshilovgrad | 0 | 1646 | 11.12% | 23.61% |
| 25 | 1976-10-03 | 52.0 | @ Karpati Lvov | 3 | 1822 | 74.41% | Zorya Voroshilovgrad | 1 | 1631 | 5.59% | 20.00% |